The Analysis of the Relationship Between External Debts and the Financial Crises in Turkey After 1990

One of the most important causes of financial crisis that experienced in many developing countries and Turkey is excessive amount of external debt. External borrowing is a source of funding that is often used in developing countries but since these sources generally not being used effectively it affects macro-economic balance negatively. Therefore, external debt is shown as the main causes of financial crises in many countries and it constitutes the subject of scientific studies. In this context, external borrowing is thought to have a significant impact on crisis of Turkey and logistic regression analysis is applied to test this effect by taking into account some key variables related to external debt. The results showed that the External Debt Stock/GDP ratio and Central Bank Reserves/Short-Term External Debt ratio have a significant effect on crises in Turkey