产业结构高级化对碳排放的影响效应分析――基于面板门槛模型的实证分析
The Impact Effect Analysis of Industrial Structure Upgradeon Carbon Emissions――Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Threshold Model

产业结构优化是影响碳排放的重要因素,主要分析了在不同经济状态下产业结构高级化过程中对碳排放的影响效应.研究结果表明:适当水平下的产业结构高级化程度对碳排放产生显著抑制效应; 而现阶段随着经济的增长,产业结构高级化对碳排放的抑制效应呈递减趋势; 技术水平越高,产业结构高级化对碳排放的抑制效应呈递增趋势; 当以能源消费结构和外商直接投资为门槛变量时,产业结构高级化对碳排放的边际效应呈现正“U”型.
The optimization of industrial structure is an important factor of affecting carbon emissions.The status of industrial structure upgrade impaction on carbon emissions in different economic is mainly analyzed.The results of the study show that the appropriate level of industrial structure upgrade can effectively curb carbon emissions.With the economic development now,the curb effect of the industrial structure upgrade impaction on carbon emissions shows decreasing trend.The higher level of technology,the curb effect of the industrial structure upgrade impaction on carbon emissions presents increasing trend.When sue consumption structure and foreign direct investment as threshold variables,the marginal effect of the industrial structure upgrade impaction on carbon emissions has positive “U”type