基于灰色模型的我国橡胶原材料供需分析与预测

以天然橡胶和合成橡胶为主要研究对象，对我国橡胶原材料供需进行分析与预测。以2006—2011年我国橡胶原材料供需数据为基础，建立灰色预测模型，对2006—2017年我国橡胶原材料供需量进行预测，并将2012年预测数据与实际数据进行对比验证，得出未来几年我国橡胶原材料还将保持供需两旺的趋势。;Taking the natural rubber and synthetic rubber as the main studying objects，the supply and demand of rubber raw materials in China were analyzed and forecasted.Based on supply and demand of rubber raw materials in China from 2006 to 2011，the gray forecast model was established to forecast the supply and demand of rubber raw materials from 2006 to 2017 in China，and the actual data in 2012 was compared with the forecast data in 2012.The results showed that the strong supply and demand of natural rubber and synthetic rubber would be continued in the future in China