Alcoholism and Alcohol Psychoses Trends in Russia

Sa？etak Background: Russia has one of the highest incidence rates of alcoholism and alcohol psychoses in Europe, which may be explained by high overall population drinking and prevalence of irregular heavy drinking of vodka. Aims: To estimate the aggregate level effect of alcohol consumption on the alcoholism/alcohol psychoses incidence rates in the Russian Federation. Method: Trends in alcoholism/alcohol psychoses incidence rates and alcohol consumption per capita from 1970 to 2015 were analyzed employing an ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) analysis. Results: Alcohol consumption per capita is a statistically significant factor associated with alcohol psychoses incidence rate, implying that a 1-l increase in per capita alcohol consumption is associated with an increase in the alcoholic psychoses incidence rate by 17.1%. Conclusion: This time-series analysis highlights close temporal association between alcohol psychoses rate and population drinking in Russia