Prognostic methodology of forecasts steel production for Poland until 2022

Sa？etak The publication presents the prognostic methodology used in forecasting of quantity of steel production. On the basis of empirical data (yearly steel production) from period 2000 - 2017, forecasts of steel production for Poland until 2022 were estimated. The prognostic methodology in the first step consisted in: determining separate forecasts for: steel production in total and BOF steel and EAF steel. In the second step the equations were used: total steel production – (minus) BOF steel = (is) EAF steel and total steel production – (minus) EAF steel = (is) BOF steel. The forecasting methodology adopted was possible because the sum of BOF and EAF processes is the total production (100 %) in the steel sector in Poland