基于空间动态面板数据模型的中国出口贸易与水环境关系分析

出口贸易在带动中国经济快速发展的同时也带来了环境问题。为了进一步揭示中国出口贸易与水环境的关系，依据环境经济学和国际贸易等相关理论，采用1997～2011年的省级经济与水污染排放量等面板数据，运用空间动态面板模型分析中国出口贸易与工业废水排放量之间的关系。结果表明中国工业废水的排放量随着出口贸易的发展，先减少后增加，据此提出了促进出口贸易和环境保护的针对性政策建议。 Export trade drives the development of our country's economy at the same time also brings environmental pollution problems. Under the theories of environmental economics and international trade, this paper uses provincial panel data from 1997 to 2011 to reveal the export trade to China's water damage based on a spatial dynamic panel data model. The results show that China's export trade and industrial waste water emissions exist with the development of export trade, increase, decreases first and then put forward. According to the empirical conclusion, some policy recommendations are proposed to promote export trade and environmental protection.