能源价格对国内煤制烯烃产业的影响

针对国内外煤炭、石油、天然气等主要能源产品近年来的价格走势及相关性,分析全球新的能源价格体系对中国能源价格的影响。研究表明:近年来北美页岩气的大规模开发和利用导致能源价格体系受到冲击,以美国为主的页岩油气主要开采国对全球能源供应依赖性减弱,北美天然气价格持续下跌,西德州WTI与布伦特Brent原油价差不断拉大;煤炭产能过剩已使美国更多煤炭贸易转向亚洲,并成为拉低中国煤价的重要推手;而国内外能源价格变化对国内煤制烯烃产业也带来复杂影响,只有通过产业升级才能形成中国煤化工产业核心竞争力。 Based on the main energy price variation trend such as coal,crude oil and gas in recent years,analyze the impact of new global energy price system on China domestic energy price.The results show that,large-scale development and utilization of share oil in North American has a major impact on the original energy price system,which resulted in weaker reliability of energy demands from North America on global supply,continuous decline of gas price in North America.The price differential between WTI crude oil and Brent crude oil become wider.Oversupply of coal in North America attract more US coal trades into China market,which lower coal price in China recently.The changes in domestic and international energy price also impact coal to olefin industry of China.The best method of forming core competency is industry upgrading