Modeling Urban Development by Combining Bee Colony Algorithm

During recent decade fast development of cities in developing countries has been converted to considerable problem. Thereby, permanent revising of dynamic urban process with regarding to development in the past and predicting it in future is inevitable. Target of this research is modeling urbanization development of Amol by Bee colony in 28 years between 1988- 2016. For this purpose, initially should gather needed criterions from organizations, analyzed them and extracted user plans which are from Landsite with 92 percent Kappa coefficient by oriented-object method; then verification of plans and revelation of changes have been done which had the most increasing of area in instructed regions 850 hectares and the most decreasing of area 720 hectares. Based on these changes, 11 independent variables have chosen as entrance of model and then potential using of converting and predicting for future modeling by Bee algorithm method. Comparison prediction results with the newest land data and past studying shows that existence research results are more similar to land realities. Also predicted plan has shown the most amount of development in the future is in north-west and west of Amol. Keywords: Bee colony; oriented-object; urbanization; predicted plan