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-  2018 

Interactions between climatic changes and intervention effects on malaria spatio-temporal dynamics in Uganda

DOI: 10.1016/j.parepi.2018.e00070

Keywords: Climatic, Malaria early warning system (MEWS), District health information software system version 2 (DHIS2), Malaria interventions, insecticide treated nets (ITNs), Negative binomial, artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs), Bayesian inference, conditional autoregressive (CAR) model

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Abstract:

Although malaria burden in Uganda has declined since 2009 following the scale-up of interventions, the disease is still the leading cause of hospitalization and death. Transmission remains high and is driven by suitable weather conditions. There is a real concern that intervention gains may be reversed by climatic changes in the country. In this study, we investigate the effects of climate on the spatio-temporal trends of malaria incidence in Uganda during 2013–2017

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