基于AR模型的建筑物沉降变形分析预测
Analysis and Prediction of Building Settlement Deformation Based on AR Model

随着我国城市化进程的加快，高楼飞速建成的同时，其安全问题日益突出。自回归模型(AR)，作为一种重要的时序分析方法，能较好反映建筑物沉降变形量随时间的变化规律。本文结合工程实例，分析建筑沉降变形，利用自回归模型对变形量做出预测，对比实际观测值，验证了其有效性。
With the acceleration of China’s urbanization process, the rapid completion of high-rise buildings at the same time, its security issues are increasingly prominent. Autoregressive model (AR), as an important time series analysis method, can better reflect the rule of building settlement defor-mation change with time. In this paper, the settlement deformation of building is analyzed with an engineering example, and the autoregressive model is used to predict the amount of deformation.