中国省际环境规制强度测度与分析——基于2003~2016年的数据
Measurement and Analysis of Interprovincial Environmental Regulation Intensity in China—Based on 2003~2016 Data

文章选取二氧化硫、烟(粉)尘及废水排放量作为排污指标，结合环境污染治理费用投资总额，建立了环境规制强度的测度模型，具体测算了我国各省2003年至2016年的环境规制强度，发现东部地区的环境规制强度明显高于其他地区，就全国来看，我国的环境规制强度总体呈逐年提高的趋势。同时采取面板计量模型进行实证分析，结果显示，环境规制对经济发展具有U型影响特征，即环境规制的强度提高会对经济发展产生先抑制后促进的作用。分地区实证结果表明，环境规制能够促进东部省份和中部省份的经济发展，因此应进一步加大该地区的环境规制强度，同时提高固定资产投资和第三产业的发展，以获得环境和经济的双赢；但对西部省份而言，现阶段不应继续提高其环境门槛，而应辅以其他政策，如增加就业人数、提高二、三产的占比等，以促进经济的发展。
Drawing upon data of SO2, wastewater, smog (soot) emission and investment of pollution govern-ance, this paper analyzes 2003~2016’s interprovincial environmental regulation intensity. The result shows that the Eastern region’s environmental regulation intensity is higher than other re-gions. The environmental regulation intensity and economic growth showed a U-shaped relation-ship; the economic impact of environmental regulation turned from negative to positive as the en-vironmental regulation intensity enhanced. The inter-province regression indicates that, the East-ern and Central regions should increase environmental regulation intensity, raise investment and develop the third industry for realizing the win-win situation of environment and economy. But Western region should not enhance environmental regulation intensity, but increase the employ-ment and improve the second and third industry’s proportion for developing the economy.