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FDI与金融发展对经济增长的影响研究
Research on the Influence of FDI and Financial Development on Economic Growth

DOI: 10.12677/ASS.2019.87159, PP. 1149-1156

Keywords: FDI,金融发展,经济增长,分位数回归,通径分析
FDI
, Financial Development, Economic Growth, Quantile Regression, Path Analysis

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Abstract:

文章采用分位数回归和通径分析的方法,研究了FDI、金融发展与经济增长之间的复杂关系。从分位数回归法结果得到金融发展与投资水平会阻碍经济的增长,且该种阻碍作用在日益减弱;FDI与进出口会促进经济的发展,且该种促进作用在不断增强。从通径分析法的研究结果得到FDI会促进我国经济的增长,且FDI对经济增长的间接影响效应大于直接影响效应;金融发展在一定程度上阻碍了我国经济的增长,且金融发展对经济增长的直接影响效应大于间接影响效应,且金融发展只有到达一定的阈值才会促进经济的增长。
The article uses the method of quantile regression and path analysis to study the complex rela-tionship between FDI, financial development and economic growth. From the results of quantile regression, financial development and investment levels will hinder economic growth, and this hindrance is weakening; FDI and import and export will promote economic development, and this kind of promotion is increasing. From the research results of the path analysis method, FDI will promote the growth of China’s economy, and the indirect effect of FDI on economic growth is greater than the direct impact effect; financial development hinders the growth of China’s economy to a certain extent, and financial development for economic growth. The direct impact effect is greater than the indirect impact effect, and financial development can only promote economic growth if it reaches a certain threshold.

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