全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

Hypothetical Physics and Chemistry of Volcanic Eruptions: The Doorway to Their Prediction

DOI: 10.4236/ijg.2019.104022, PP. 377-404

Keywords: Earthquakes, Volcanic Eruptions, Energy Sources, Physical Chemistry, Precursors, Electromagnetic Field Monitoring

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

This article presents a further development of the hypotheses concerning the possibility of predicting (“tectonic”) earthquakes [1]. Those hypotheses are based on the conversion of all types of released energy into heat and active chemical substances. One of the important sources of this phenomenon is the release of the latent energy trapped and stored during the Earth’s accretion. The latent energy of primordial hydrogen and helium escaping from the Earth’s core and lower mantle causes degassing processes [2] [3]. This latent energy converts into totally different types of chemical, electromagnetic and thermal energies of active compounds that are responsible for the major endogenic terrestrial processes. The dominating theories in seismology and volcanology are that an earthquake results from a sudden slip of a tectonic fault and that only magma and the gases contained in magma supply the volcanic energy resulting in the conclusions that earthquakes and eruptions are unpredictable. Volcanic eruption is considered herein to be a special case of the earthquake-process in which earthquake hypocenters rise to the Earth’s surface. A possible solution is proposed ([1] and herein) based on the analyses of the physicochemical processes as participants in earthquake and eruption preparations (foreshocks - major shock - aftershocks - volcanic eruptions) and on the characteristic rates of reflection of these processes on the Earth’s surface. Influences of Sun-Moon-tides and volcanic (“harmonic”) tremors are analyzed from physical-chemical point of view. The case of the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens and the proposed monitoring of the recommended additional data provides a way of selecting a complex of reliable earthquake and volcanic eruption precursors.

References

[1]  Mavrodiev, S.C., Pekevski, L., Botev, E., Pinar, A., Kikuashvili, G., Vol, A. and Gilat, A. (2018) Study of the Possibility of Predicting Earthquakes. International Journal of Geosciences, 9, 688-706. https://doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2018.912042
[2]  Gilat, A. and Vol, A. (2005) Primordial Hydrogen-Helium Degassing, an Overlooked Major Energy Source for Internal Terrestrial Processes. HAIT Journal of Science and Engineering B, 2, 125-167.
http://people.clarkson.edu/~nanosci/jse/B/vol0201B/vg040720.pdf
[3]  Gilat, A. and Vol, A. (2012) Degassing of Primordial Hydrogen and Helium as the Major Energy Source for Internal Terrestrial Processes. Geoscience Frontiers, 3, 911-921.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987112000412
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2012.03.009
[4]  Reid, H.P. (1910) The California Earthquake of April 18, 1906; the Mechanics of the Earthquake, Carnegie Institute, Washington DC.
[5]  Geller, R.J., Jackson, D.D., Kagan, Y.Y. and Mulargia, F. (1997) Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted. Science, 275, 1616-1617.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.275.5306.1616
[6]  Bolt, B.A. (1978) Earthquakes: A Primer. W.H. Freeman and Company, San Francisco, 112-115.
[7]  Bürgmann, R. and Dresen, G. (2008) Rheology of the Lower Crust and Upper Mantle: Evidence from Rock Mechanics, Geodesy, and Field Observations. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 36, 531-567.
https://igppweb.ucsd.edu/~fialko/rheo/Burgmann_AnnRev_2008.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.36.031207.124326
[8]  Richter, C.F. (1958) Elementary Seismology. W.F. Freeman and Company, San Francisco, and Bailey Bros, Swinfen Ltd., London.
[9]  Shrestha, B. (2009) Vertical Ground Motions and Its Effect on Engineering Structures: A State-of-the-Art Review.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/233922546
[10]  Bozorgnia, Y. (2014) Vertical Ground Motion.
http://www.cosmos-q.org/technicalsession/TS2014/5_Bozorgnia_2014.pdf
[11]  Paonita, A., Caracausi, A., Martelli, M. and Rizzo, A.L. (2016) Temporal Variations of Helium Isotopes in Volcanic Gases Quantify Pre-Eruptive Refill and Pressurization in Magma Reservoirs: The Mount Etna Case. Geology, 44, 499-502.
https://doi.org/10.1130/G37807.1
[12]  Kanamori, H. and Brodsky, E. (2004) The Physics of Earthquakes. Reports on Progress in Physics, 67, 1429-1496. https://doi.org/10.1088/0034-4885/67/8/R03
[13]  Ouzounov, D., Pulinets, S., Romanov, A., Romanov, A., Tsybulya, K., Davidenko, D., Kafatos, M. and Taylor, P. (2011) Atmosphere-Ionosphere Response to the M9 Tohoku Earthquake Revealed by Joined Satellite and Ground Observations. Preliminary Results.
[14]  Donne, D.D., Harris, A.J.L., Ripepe, M. and Wright, R. (2010) Earthquake-Induced Thermal Anomalies at Active Volcanoes. Geology, 38, 771-774.
https://doi.org/10.1130/G30984.1
[15]  Darwin, C. (1838) On the Connexion of Certain Volcanic Phenomena in South America, and on the Formation of Mountain Chains and Volcanoеs, as the Effect of the Same Power by Which Continents Are Elevated. Transactions of the Geological Society, 5, 1842-1846.
[16]  Kopnichev, Y.F. and Sokolova, I.N. (2017) Ring-Shaped Seismicity Structures in Southern California: Possible Preparation for Large Earthquake in the Los Angeles Basin. Geofizicheskie Protsessyi Biosfera, 16, 42-54.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S0001433817080072
[17]  Cande, S.C. and Stegman, D.R. (2011) Indian and African Plate Motions Driven by the Push Force of the Reunion Plume Head. Nature, 475, 47-52.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10174
[18]  Mavrodiev, S.C. (2004) On the Reliability of the Geomagnetic Quake as a Short Time Earthquake’s Precursor for the Sofia Region. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 4, 433-447.
[19]  Mavrodiev, S.C. (2016) Imminent Earthquake Forecasting on the Basis of Japan Intermagnet Stations, NEIC, NOAA and Tide Code Data Analysis. Open Journal of Earthquake Research, 5, 62-78. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojer.2016.51005
[20]  Mavrodiev, S.C., Pekevski, L. and Kikuashvili, G. (2013) Results of BlackSeaHazNet Project—FP7 IRSES Project: Extended Executive Summary, Conclusion Workshop, BlackSeaHazNet Series 3, Sofia.
[21]  Mavrodiev, S., Pekevski, L., Kikuashvili, G., Botev, E., Getsov, P., Mardirossian, G., Sotirov, G. and Teodossiev, D. (2015) On the Imminent Regional Seismic Activity Forecasting Using INTERMAGNET and Sun-Moon Tide Code Data. Open Journal of Earthquake Research, 4, 102-113. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojer.2015.43010
[22]  Fedotov, S.A. (2006) Magmatic Feeding Systems and Mechanism of Volcanic Eruptions. Nauka, Moscow, 230-231. (In Russian)
[23]  Jaggar, T.A. (1947) Origin and Development of Craters. Geol. Soc. Am. Memoir 21.
https://doi.org/10.1130/MEM21-p1
[24]  Tazieff, H. (1980) The Smell of Sulfur. Mysl, Moscow. (In Russian)
[25]  Huang, H.H., Lin, F.C., Schmandt, B., Farrell, J., Smith, R.B. and Tsai, V.C. (2015) The Yellowstone Magmatic System from the Mantle Plume to the Upper Crust. Science, 348, 773-776. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa5648
[26]  Devine, J.D., Sugurdsson, H., Davis, A.N. and Self, S. (1984) Estimates of Sulfur and Chlorine Yield to the Atmosphere from Volcanic Eruptions and Potential Climatic Effects. Journal of Geophysical Research, 89, 6309-6325.
https://doi.org/10.1029/JB089iB07p06309
[27]  Fukuhara, M. (2016) Possible Generation of Heat from Nuclear Fusion in Earth’s Inner Core. Scientific Reports, 6, Article No. 37740.
https://www.nature.com/articles/srep37740
https://doi.org/10.1038/srep37740
[28]  Ratis, Y.L. (2009) Neutrino Сatalysis of Nuclear Synthesis Reactions in Cold Hydrogen. Concepts of Physics, 6, 525-541. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10005-009-0011-4
[29]  Rofman, V.M. (2012) To the Question of Genesis of Tritium in the Water of River Chagan (Semipalatinsk Anomaly, Kazachstan). (In Russian)
http://earth-chronicles.ru/news/2012-08-30-29679
[30]  Shomer, I. (2010) Is Deuterium Fusion Catalyzed by Antineutrinos?
http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2010APS..APR.Q8008S
[31]  Prados-Estévez, F., Subashiev, A. and Nee, H. (2017) Strong Screening by Lattice Confinement and Resultant Fusion Reaction Rates in fcc Metals. Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research Section B, 407, 6772.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nimb.2017.05.047
[32]  Terez, E. and Terez, I. (2015) Fusion Reactions as the Main Source of the Earth’s Internal Energy. Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 85, 163-169.
https://doi.org/10.1134/S1019331615020070
[33]  Storms, E. (2012) An Explanation of Low-Energy Nuclear Reactions (Cold Fusion). Journal of Condensed Matter Nuclear Science, 9, 86-107.
[34]  Meijer de, R.J. and van Westrenen, W. (2008) Assessing the Feasibility and Consequences of Nuclear Georeactors in Earth Core-Mantle Boundary Region, South African. Journal of Science, 104, 111-118.
[35]  Araki, T., Enomoto, S., Furuno, K., Gando, Y., Ichimura, K., et al. (2005) Experimental Investigation of Geologically Produced Antineutrinos with KamLAND. Nature, 436, 499-503. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature03980
[36]  Gando, A. (2011) The KamLAND Collaboration. Partial Radiogenic Heat Model for Earth Revealed by Geoneutrino Measurements. Nature Geoscience, 4, 647-651.
https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1205
[37]  Rusov, V.D., Linnik, E.P., Vashenko, V.N., Mavrodiev, S.Cht., Beglaryan, M.E., Zelentsova, T.N., Tarasov, V.A., Litvinov, D.A., Smoylar, V.P. and Vachev, B.I. (2011) Solar Dynamo as Host Power Pacemaker of Earth Global Climate, EU FP7 IRSES 2011 Project, Complex Research of Earthquake’s Forecasting Possibilities, Seismicity and Climate Change Correlations. Ohrid, Macedonia, BlackSeaHazNet Series 1, 2-5.
[38]  Semenov, N.N. (1956) Some Problems Relating to Chain Reactions and to the Theory of Combustion. Nobel Lecture, December 11, 1956.
[39]  Dahy, S.A. and Hassib, G.H. (2009) Discriminating Nuclear Explosions from Earthquakes at Teleseismic Distances. European Journal of Applied Sciences, 1, 47-52.
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/aa07/2d387060e2dda194711d153af0708e4e52de.pdf
[40]  Gieras, M., Klemens, R., Rarata, G. and Wolański, P. (2006) Determination of Explosion Parameters of Methane-Air Mixtures in the Chamber of 40 dm3 at Normal and Elevated Temperature. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 19, 263-270.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0950423005000550
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jlp.2005.05.004
[41]  Zhang, Q., Li, W. and Liang, H.M. (2012) Effect of Spark Duration on Explosion Parameters of Methane-Air Mixtures in Closed Vessels. Safety Science, 50, 1715-1721. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925753512000914
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2012.04.004
[42]  Maranda, A. and Szymański, R. (2013) Tests on Critical Diameter and Detonation Velocity of Mixtures of Ammonium Nitrate (V) and Selected Organic Substances. CHEMIK, 67, 13-18.
http://www.chemikinternational.com/year-2013/year-2013-issue-1/tests-on-critical-diameter-and-detonation-velocity-of-mixtures-of-ammonium-nitrate-v-and-selected-organic-substances-maranda-a-szymanski-r/
[43]  Antillon, E. and Strachan, A. (2015) Mesoscale Simulations of Shockwave Energy Dissipation via Chemical Reactions.
[44]  Taylor, S.R. (1975) Lunar Science: A Post-Apollo View. Pergamon Press Inc., New York.
[45]  Toulhoat, H., Beaumont, V., Zgonnik, V., Larin, N. and Larin, V.N. (2012) Chemical Differentiation of Planets: A Core Issue.
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1208/1208.2909.pdf
[46]  Recanati, A., Kurz, M.D., Warren, J.M. and Curtice, J. (2012) Helium Distribution in a Mantle Shear Zone from the Josephine Peridotite. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 359-360, 162. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2012.09.046
[47]  Subashiev, A. and Nee, H. (2017) Hydrogen Trapping at Divacancies and Impurity-Vacancy Complexes in Nickel: First Principles Study. Journal of Nuclear Materials, 487, 135-142. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jnucmat.2017.01.037
[48]  Jaupart, C., Labrosse, S. and Mareschal, J.S. (2015) Temperatures, Heat and Energy in the Mantle of the Earth.
http://perso.ens-lyon.fr/stephane.labrosse/sites/default/files/PDF/Jaupart_etal_ToG 2015.pdf
[49]  Gufeld, I.L. and Matveeva, M.I. (2011) Barrier Effect of Degassing and Destruction of the Earth’s Crust. Doklady Earth Sciences, 438, 677-680.
https://doi.org/10.1134/S1028334X11050199
[50]  Vol, A. (2014) Thermo-Electrochemical Processes of the Earth’s Degassing Creating Geomagnetic Field and Changing Its Value and Direction (Thermodynamic Approach). International Journal of Geosciences, 5, 1219-1230.
http://www.scirp.org/journal/ijg
https://doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2014.510101
[51]  Cowen, R. (2013) Two-Laser Boron Fusion Lights the Way to Radiation-Free Energy. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature.2013.13914
[52]  Hora, H., Eliezer, S., Kirchhoff, G.J., Nissim, N., Wang, J.X., Lalousis, P., Xu, Y.X., Miley, G.H. and Martinez-Val, J.M. (2017) Road Map to Clean Energy Using Laser Beam Ignition of Boron-Hydrogen Fusion. Laser and Particle Beams, 35, 730-740.
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0263034617000799
[53]  Galembeck, F., Burgo, T.A.L., Balestrin, L.B.S., Gouveia, R.F., Silva, C.A. and Galembeck, A. (2014) Friction, Tribochemistry and Triboelectricity: Recent Progress and Perpectives. http://pubs.rsc.org/-/content/articlehtml/2014/ra/c4ra09604e
[54]  Tilling, R.I., Topinka, L. and Swanson, D.A. (1993) Eruptions of Mount St. Helens: Past, Present, and Future. U.S. Department of the Interior/U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington DC, 20402.
[55]  Kiser, E., Palomeras, I., Levander, A., Zelt, C., Harder, S., Schmandt, B., et al. (2016) Magma Reservoirs from the Upper Crust to the Moho Inferred from High-Resolution Vp and Vs Models Beneath Mount St. Helens, Washington State, USA. Geology, 44, 411-414.
https://doi.org/10.1130/G37591.1
[56]  Dzurisin, D. (2018) Mount St. Helens Retrospective: Lessons Learned since 1980 and Remaining Challenges.
[57]  Olson, S. (2017) Eruption, the Untold Story of Mount St. Helens. W.W. Norton & Company, New York, London.
[58]  Sano, Y., Kagoshima, N., Takahata, N., Nishio, Y., Roulleau, E., Pinti, D.I. and Fischer, P. (2015) Ten-Year Helium Anomaly Prior to the 2014 Mt. Ontake Eruption. Scientific Reports, 5, Article No. 13069. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep13069
[59]  Sano, Y. and Fischer, P.T. (2013) The Analysis and Interpretation of Noble Gases in Modern Hydrothermal Systems. In: Burnard, P., Ed., The Noble Gases as Geochemical Tracers, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 249-317.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-28836-4_10
[60]  Ozima, M. and Podosek, F.A. (1983) Noble Gas Geochemistry. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge.
[61]  Jean-Baptiste, P., Bougault, H., Vangriesheim, A., Charlou, J.L., Radford-Knoery, J., Fouquet, Y., Needham, D. and German, C. (1998) Mantle 3He in Hydrothermal Vents and Plume of the Lacky Strike Site (MAR 37o 17’N) and Associated Geothermal Heat Flux. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 157, 69-77.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0012-821X(98)00022-3
[62]  Wright, R., Flynn, L.P., Garbeil, H., Harris, A.J.L. and Pilger, E. (2004) MODVOLC: Near-Real-Time Thermal Monitoring of Global Volcanism. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 135, 29-49.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2003.12.008
[63]  Wright, R. and Flynn, L. (2004) Space-Based Estimate of the Volcanic Heat Flux Into the Atmosphere During 2001 and 2002. Geology, 32, 189-192.
https://doi.org/10.1130/G20239.1

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133