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- 2017
空气质量响应曲面模型在杭州市的应用
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Abstract:
摘要 基于CMAQ模拟结果，统计、归纳出各种污染物排放控制因子与污染物浓度之间的函数关系，建立空气质量响应曲面模型RSM，通过留一法交叉验证和外部验证对模型进行可靠性验证。使用RSM，研究不同污染物的PM2.5响应值，评估现有政策不变（Ⅰ）和政策收紧（Ⅱ）两种减排情景，发现NOX、SO2、NH3和VOC对PM2.5浓度体现明显的非线性响应特征，情景Ⅱ的减排效果明显好于情景Ⅰ，夏季的减排效果好于冬季。
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