我国新型职业农民队伍总量与结构的需求估算研究
Study on Totality and Structural Demand Estimation of China’s New Type Professional Farmers

2012年中央1号文件提出了要培育壮大新型职业农民队伍。大力培养造就新型职业农民队伍，是增强农村发展活力的重大举措，对于全面建成小康社会具有重要意义。考虑到农业各行业的生产特点、收益和劳动用工量的差异性，研究估算了农、林、牧、渔业各业所需要的新型职业农民队伍规模，估算结果表明新型职业农民队伍的供需缺口超过8 000万，培养造就新型职业农民队伍任重而道远。
To foster and strengthen new type professional farmers is put forward in "The Central Document No.1 in 2014".It is well-known that training new type professional farmers is not only the important measurement to strengthen the vitality in the countryside,but also is significant to build a well-off society in an all-round way.Owing to the production traits of all agricultural sectors,differences of profits and amount of labors,this paper estimates the scale of new type professional farmers in such sectors of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishing.The estimation result shows that the gap between supply and demand is over 80 million.Therefore,cultivating new type professional farmers still involves heavy responsibilities.