中国农村金融对农产品物流传导效应的实证研究
An Empirical Study of Conduction Effect of Rural Finance on Agricultural Products Logistics in China

采用VAR模型对中国1990年以来农村金融变迁与农产品物流发展的长期动态关系进行实证研究。结果表明:农村金融发展在很大程度上促进了农产品物流发展,而农产品物流发展却没有对农村金融发展起到应有的拉动作用,我国农村金融仍处于有效供给主体不足的状态。从破除农村金融抑制现象、培育面向农产品物流的多元化私人融资担保主体、大力发展农产品物流金融、创新农产品物流金融产品等方面提出了完善我国农村金融市场、促进农产品物流快速发展的对策建议。
By using the VAR model,this paper investigates the long-term dynamic relationship between rural financial change and development of agricultural products logistics in China since 1990. The result shows that rural financial development has substantially promoted development of agricultural products logistics,not vice versa. This lends support to the view that rural finance is still lacking effective supply main body. This paper finally proposes several suggestions on how to improve China’s rural financial markets and promote the development of agricultural products logistics from the following aspects,such as elimination of rural financial repression,cultivation of diversified private financing guarantee body for agricultural products logistics,development of logistics finance of agricultural products and innovation of logistics financial products of agricultural products.