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-  2015 

适度金融资本与中国农业经济增长——基于向量自回归(VAR)模型的实证分析
Modest Financial Capital and Agricultural Economic Growth in China——An Empirical Analysis Based on Vector Auto Regression(VAR) Model

Keywords: 经济增长 金融资本 协调增长 农业
economic growth financial capital harmonious growth agriculture

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Abstract:

应用新古典经济增长模型对适度金融资本与经济增长之间的关系进行了理论分析。基于VAR模型对中国农村金融资本与农业经济增长的数量关系进行了实证检验。实证结果表明,1985-2011年间中国农村金融发展并不与农业经济增长相适应。具有外生性的农村金融资本深化率并没有成为农业经济增长的有利因素,而具有内生性的农村金融资本比率和农业金融资本比率却有助于农业经济增长。
By using neo-classical economic growth model,this paper identifies the theory relationships between the modest financial capital and economic growth.Based on VAR model,this paper also empirically examines the quantitative relationships between the rural financial capital and agricultural economic growth in China.The result shows that the rural financial capital was not adapted to the agricultural economic growth in China from 1985 to 2011.The deepening of exogenous rural finance has not become the positive factor to promote agricultural economic growth.On the contrary,the capital ratio of endogenous rural finance and agricultural finance is beneficial to the agricultural economic growth.

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