前景理论视角下兼业农户的土地流转行为决策研究
Study on Part-time Farmers’ Decision-making in Farmland Transfer from Perspective of Prospect Theory

在不确定性环境下，农户的农地转出决策行为出现诸多非理性现象。将兼业农户分为以务农为主的兼业农户Ⅰ和以务农为辅的兼业农户Ⅱ两类，从前景理论的视角对兼业农户的农地流转行为进行分析发现：不同的兼业农户具有不同的风险偏好，并依据风险偏好做出农地流转决策；两类兼业农户都不倾向于转出农地，兼业农户I不转出农地的主要原因是追求土地收益的确定性，兼业农户II不转出农地的主要原因是不在乎农地转出的租金收益。
Under uncertainty,there are many irrational phenomena in farmers’ decision-making in the process of farmland transfer. This paper first classifies the part-time farmers into two types:part-owner households Ⅰ and farmers Ⅱand then analyzes the behavior of part-time farmers’ land circulation. The result shows that different part-time farmers have different risk appetite and they make decisions of farm land circulaiton according to their own risk appetites from the perspective of prospect theory. The two types of part-time farmers are not inclined to turn out the farmland. The main reason for part-time farmer I not to turn out their farmland is the certainty of the land profit,while the main reason for the part-time farmer II not to turn out their farmland is that they don’t care the rental income of transferred farm land.