从《蹇蹇录》看日本侵华的诡秘逻辑
From Kenkenroku to Learn the Mysterious Logic of Japan’s Aggression against ChinaSun

摘要 中日甲午战争期间担任日本外务大臣的陆奥宗光撰写的个人外交回忆录——《蹇蹇录》，不仅自供了当年日本决策层策划、发动、推进甲午战争的“真相”和“奥秘”，而且揭示了日本完胜中国的真正原因。前者包括：“师出有名”的欺世说辞；排除“干涉”的狡黠手法；危机公关的下作手段；逼吞苦果的鬼蜮伎俩。后者系指：日本获胜除了靠坚船利炮等军事“硬实力”外，还靠外交运作、人才储备、舆论宣传、情报刺探、国际法运用等“软实力”。这一探讨，不仅有助于评估陆奥宗光及“陆奥外交”在这场战争中的地位和作用，而且对总结和汲取中日甲午战争的惨痛历史教训，尤其对洞察日本侵华的诡秘逻辑，均有裨益。
Abstract：A personal diplomatic memoir Kenkenroku was written by the Japanese foreign minister， Mutsu Munemitsu during the SinoJapanese War of 1894. It not only provides the mysterious logic the “truth” and “mystery” of planning， launching， promoting the SinoJapanese War by Japanese decisionmakers at that time，but also reveals the true reason why Japan had successfully defeated China. The former includes：the deceit excuse of “a good reason for waging a war”； the sly means to eliminate tactics of interference； contemptible means on crisis public relations；the sinister means of threatening to swallow the consequences. The latter refers to the fact that Japan won is not only by military “hard power” such as ships and guns， but also by its diplomacy， talent pool， consensus propaganda， intelligence spying and other “soft power”. This discussion not only helps to evaluate the position and function of Mutsu Munemitsu and “Mutsu Diplomacy” in the war， and benefits to summing up and absorbing painful lessons on history from the SinoJapanese War，especially having an insight into the mysterious logic of Japanese aggression against China.