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-  2018 

基于空间异质性的中国住房空置率与房地产金融风险研究
Research on China's Housing Vacancy Rate and Real Estate Financial Risk Based on Spatial Heterogeneity

Keywords: 住房空置率 房地产金融风险 空间异质性
housing vacancy rate real estate financial risk spatial heterogeneity

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Abstract:

运用空间计量方法,利用2004-2015年30省市面板数据考量住房空置率对房地产金融风险的影响。结果表明:中国房地产金融风险在空间上存在显著的正向关联,地理距离和经济距离均会对区域房地产风险及其空间相关性产生显著影响,在考虑了空间影响后住房空置率对房地产金融风险的影响显著为正。
The influence of housing vacancy rate on real estate financial risk is analyzed using the spatial econometric method and panel data of 30 provinces and cities during 2004-2015. The results show that there is a significant positive correlation between the real estate financial risk in China, the geographical distance and the economic distance will have a significant impact on the regional real estate risk and its spatial correlation, and the effect of the housing vacancy rate on the real estate financial risk is significantly positive after considering the spatial impact.

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