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-  2015 

基于累积Logistic模型的居民通货膨胀异质性感受的因素研究
Empirical Analysis of Factors Leading to the Heterogeneity of Inflation Perceptions Based on the Cumulative Logistic Model

Keywords: 通货膨胀感受 异质性 心理因素 外部因素 累积Logistic模型
Inflation perception Heterogeneity Psychological factors External information factors Cumulative logistic model

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Abstract:

通过调查问卷获取居民的通货膨胀感受及相关的个人特征等数据,运用累积Logistic模型,从心理层面和外部信息层面考量影响居民通货膨胀感受异质性的因素。结果表明,收入满意程度、食品价格、房租价格以及促销手段等是导致我国居民通胀感受异质性的主要因素。鉴此,政府应该提高收入满意度、稳定物价以及调节房价,以期降低通货膨胀感受的异质性。
Data related to inflation perceptions and personal characteristics are acquired through a questionnaire. By using the idea of cumulative logistic model as the empirical methodological approach, this paper empirically analyzes the factors that lead to the heterogeneity of inflation perceptions through the psychological and external information aspects of the formation of inflation perceptions. The results show that income satisfaction, food price, rent and marketing are the factors with significant effects on the heterogeneity of inflation perceptions. The government should enhance income satisfaction, stabilize prices and regulate houses price and rent in order to decrease the heterogeneity of inflation perception.

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