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- 2016
中国和中亚五国产业内贸易指数及影响因素研究
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Abstract:
利用产业内贸易指数和联合国SITC（REV.3）标准和1996-2013年数据，对中国和中亚各国产业内贸易加权总指数和分行业指数进行了计算，结果表明：中亚各国和中国在初级品产业的产业内贸易指数低于工业品产业；采用面板Tobit方法对产业内贸易的影响因素进行回归分析后发现，经济规模相对差距、人均GDP差异、FDI流入、贸易开放和距离等因素对不同行业的产业内贸易会产生不同的影响。
We calculate trade-weighted and industry-classified intra-industry trade index between China and Central Asian countries based on United Nations SITC (REV.3) codes and data from 1996 to 2013. The results reveal that intra-industry trade index between China and Central Asian countries is small, and from high to low is Kazakhstan、Uzbekistan、Tajikistan、Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan is much higher than others. By industries, the intra-industry trade index is higher for manufactured goods than for primary products. In addition, the determinants of intra-industry trade are investigated using a panel Tobit regression model. The results indicate that difference in economic size、difference in per capita GDP、foreign direct investment inflows、openness and geographical distance will make different influences on intra-industry trade of different industries
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