海峡两岸花卉产品产业内贸易实证分析
Empirical study on the intra-industry trade in flower products across Taiwan Strait

近年来,海峡两岸花卉产品贸易呈现出不断攀升的趋势。本研究在界定花卉产品范围的基础上,利用G-L指数、Aquino指数、边际产业内贸易指数(B指数)以及Thom & McDowell垂直和水平产业内贸易指数对1996-2013年海峡两岸花卉产业内贸易进行实证研究。结果表明:海峡两岸花卉产品产业内贸易水平较低,贸易方式以产业间贸易为主导。产业间贸易是推动两岸花卉贸易发展的主要动力,然而产业内贸易比重有不断增加的趋势;尽管近年来垂直型产业内贸易比重有所增加,两岸花卉产品产业内贸易仍以水平型产业内贸易为主。
On the basis of determining the scope of flower products,this paper analyzed the level and structure of intra-industry trade across Taiwan Strait in flower products from 1996 to 2013 by using empirical studies of G-L index,Aquino index,Brulhart marginal intra-industry trade index,Thom & McDowell horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade index.The results showed that intra-industry flower trade was still in the low level across Taiwan Straits and was dominated by inter-industry trade.The growth of flower trade between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan was mainly stimulated by inter-industry trade;although the vertical intra-industry trade has been increasing,the horizontal intra-industry trade was the main form of intra-industry trade.Policies on how to promote flowers product trade across Taiwan Strait and strengthen flower industry cooperation between them under the background of ECFA were recommended at the end of this paper.