制造业FDI行业内和行业间溢出对全要素生产率变动的影响*
THE IMPACT OF FDI INTRA AND INTER INDUSTRY SPILLOVERS ON TFP CHANGE IN CHINESE MANUFACTURING SECTOR

摘要 在中国制造2025的大背景下，如何利用FDI来促进制造业全要素生产率、技术效率与技术水平的提升具有重要意义。采用2005—2014年中国制造业的26个行业的面板数据实证分析FDI行业间和行业内的技术溢出对全要素生产率变动的影响，结果发现行业内直接溢出能有效促进内资制造业全要素生产率和技术效率的提高；行业内间接溢出则会挤占内资企业的生存空间阻碍全要素生产率、技术效率和技术水平的增长；行业间后向关联程度能显著且明显地促进内资制造业全要素生产率和技术效率的提升；行业间前向关联程度能显著但微弱地抑制内资制造业全要素生产率和技术效率的提升。
Abstract： In the context of Made in China 2025, how to take advantage of FDI to promote the total factor productivity, technical efficiency and technical level of manufacturing sector is especially important This paper takes panel data of 26 industries in the manufacturing sector from 2005—2014 to analyze FDI technology spillovers on the total factor productivity change The result shows that the intra industry direct spillovers can effectively promote the total factor productivity and technological efficiency of domestic manufacturing sector, the intra industry indirect spillovers will erode the living space which can hinder the growth of total factor productivity, technical efficiency and technical level of domestic manufacturing sector, the inter industry backward correlation degree has some significant and large positive spillover effects on the total factor productivity and technical efficiency, and the inter industry forward correlation degree has some significant but weak negative spillover effects on the total factor productivity and technical efficiency.