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-  2017 

A股市场错误定价的度量及影响因素研究*
THE MEASUREMENT AND THE INFLUENCES OF ASHARE STOCK MARKETS MISPRICING

Keywords: 错误定价,可操作性应计利润,货币政策,SVAR模型,mispricing,discretional accruals,monetary policy,SVAR model

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Abstract:

摘要 本文对基于迎合理论的可操作应计利润模型在A股市场错误定价的度量效果进行实证研究分析,结果发现可操作应计利润模型在A股市场错误定价度量方面的适用性较高。在错误定价的影响因素方面,本文通过构建SVAR模型对该问题进行研究。发现货币供给量、融资结构能够对错误定价水平造成显著的长期(1年以上)反向冲击作用,且对错误定价水平的变化具备较高的解释能力。
Abstract: This paper testifies the efficiency of DACCR model which is based on catering theory. We find that the DACCR model is eminently effective in Ashare stocks mispricings measurement. In order to find which variable influence Ashares mispricing level, this paper builds SVAR model to search which economic variable influence DACCR greater and which variable could explain DACCRs changes more. The model results show M2 and financing structure make greatest influence on DACCR in a long term (more than one year), which also explain the DAACR changes mostly.

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