基于地价质量协调度的城市理性地价研究——以全国35个重点监测城市住宅地价为例
Study on Urban Rational Land Price Based on Coordination Degree of Land Quality——A Case Study of Residential Land Price of 35 Key Monitoring Cities in China

研究城市理性地价是城市土地资产核算和价值评估的客观需要，可为政府根据价格信号做出科学决策提供依据.以全国35个重点监测城市2008-2013年住宅地价为研究对象，采用多因素综合评价法测得城市地价质量，运用序列化比较检测城市地价间的协调程度，并通过构建回归模型对城市理性地价进行判断.结果表明：①研究期间住宅地价总体呈平稳上升趋势，仅哈尔滨、南京等9市略有下降；②住宅地价处于基本合理范围内的城市约占60%，其余城市地价实际值与理论值差距较大；③以经济发展水平和地价水平进行衡量，东部沿海城市条件优越，形成双高型城市；中、西部地区相对较差，形成双低型城市；④地价较为合理的城市其地价与地价质量协调性也较好，二者匹配度较高.
The study of rational urban land price is an objective need of urban land assets accounting and value evaluation, which can provide a basis for the government to make scientific decision in accordance with the price signals. Taking the housing land price in 35 key cities of China in 2008-2013 as the object of study and using the multi-factor comprehensive evaluation method, the authors measured the quality of their urban land price. Then they used serialization comparison to measure the degree of coordination between urban land prices, and judged the rational land price of these cities by the construction of a regression model. The results indicated that the overall change of residential land price during the study period showed a steady upward trend except Harbin and Nanjing and other 7 cities, where urban land price decreased slightly; that the residential land price was in the reasonable range in 60% of the cities studied, while considerable disparity was detected between the real value and the theoretical value of land price in the other cities; that based on the level of economic development and land price level, the eastern coastal cities had better conditions and exhibited a double-high type, while the central and western regions of the country were relatively poor and formed a double-low type; and that in cities with more reasonable land price, their land price was generally well coordinated with land price quality and a fairly high matching degree existed between the two