|
|
- 2017
农业生产率增长源泉、瓶颈及影响因素——基于南方五省水稻种植户的实证分析
|
Abstract:
基于2008-2012年南方五省水稻种植户的调查数据，运用DEA-Malmquist和分位数回归模型实证分析了中国农业生产率增长源泉、瓶颈及影响因素。实证结果表明：中国农业生产率增长的源泉主要是规模效率和技术进步，制约瓶颈是农户的纯技术效率；农户的文化程度、劳动投入和播种面积对经营大户有显著的正影响，而对经营小户影响不显著。因此，为提升我国农业生产效率，国家应采取支持适度规模经营、加大农业科技投入、完善农业科技成果转化等政策措施，把规模经营和科技进步作为我国农业生产率增长的主要驱动力；而且亟需加强农村人力资本培育、农业技术推广和社会化服务来弥补农户纯技术效率低下这块短板。
| [1] | 黎红梅,李明贤.集体水管理对农户水稻生产技术效率的影响研究——对湖北漳州灌区的实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2009(3):27-37. |
| [2] | 陈素琼,张广胜.农村劳动力转移对水稻生产技术效率的影响:存在代际差异吗——基于辽宁省的调查[J].农业技术经济,2012(12):31-38. |
| [3] | 陈超,李寅秋,廖西元.水稻生产环节外包的生产率效应分析——基于江苏省三县的面板数据[J].中国农村经济,2012(2):86-96. |
| [4] | 周宏,王全忠,张倩.农村劳动力老龄化与水稻生产效率缺失——基于社会化服务的视角[J].中国人口科学,2014(3):53-65. |
| [5] | 周宏,褚保金.中国水稻生产效率的变动分析[J].中国农村经济,2003(12):42-46. |
| [6] | 曾福生,高鸣.我国粮食生产效率核算及其影响因素分析——基于SBM-Tobit模型二步法的实证研究[J].农业技术经济,2012(7):63-70. |
| [7] | COOPER W W, SEIFORD L M, ZHU J. Handbook on Data Envelopment Analysis[M].Boston:kluwer Academic Publishers, 2004. |
| [8] | FARE ROLF SHAWNA GROSSKOPF, MARY NORRIS,ZHONGYANG ZHANG. Productivity Growth,Technical Progress,and Efficiency Change in Industrialized Coutries[J]American Economic Review. 1994,84(1):66-83. |
| [9] | WORLD BANK. Reaching the Rural Poor:A Renewed Strategy for Rural Development[M].Washington,D C:World Bank,2003. |
| [10] | BARTELSMAN E J,HALTIWANGER J,SCARPETTA S. Cross-country Differences in Productivity:the Role of Allocation and Selection[J].The American Economic Review,2013,103(1):305-334. |
| [11] | YU B, LIU F,YOU L. Dynamic Agricultural Supply Response under Economic Transformation:A Case Study of Henan, China[J].American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2012,94(2):370-376. |
| [12] | CHARNES A,COOPER W W,RHODES E. Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units[J].European Journal of Operational Research,1978(2):429-444. |
| [13] | COELLI T J,PRASADA RAO D S. Total Factor Productivity Growth in Agriculture:A Malmquist Index Analysis of 93 Countries, 1980-2000[R]. The Plenary Paper at the 2003 International Association of Agricultural Economics (IAAE) Conference in Durban August 2003,16(22):1-15. |
| [14] | XIAOSONG XU,S R JEFFREY. Efficiency and Technical Progress in Traditional and Modern Agriculture:Evidence from Rice Production in China[J]. Agricultural Economics,1998(18):157-165. |
| [15] | 张乐,曹静.中国农业全要素生产率增长:配置效率变化的引入——基于随机前沿生产函数法的实证分析[J].中国农村经济,2013(3):4-15. |
| [16] | 黄金波,周波先.中国粮食生产的非线性随机前沿面和技术效率研究[J].南方经济,2013(8):18-30. |
| [17] | 黄祖辉,王建英,陈志刚.非农就业、土地流转与土地细碎化对稻农技术效率的影响[J].中国农村经济,2014(1):4-16. |
| [18] | KOENKER R,G W PASSETT. Regression Quantiles[J].Econometrica,1978(46):33-50. |
| [19] | KARAGIANNIS G,P MIDMOR,V TZOUVELEKAS. Separating Technical Change from Time-Varying Technical Inefficiency in the Absence of Distributional Assumptions[J]. JournalofProductivity Analysis,2002,18(1):23-38. |
| [20] | 曾萍,吕迪伟.国内全要素生产率研究[J].华南理工大学学报(社会科学版),2014(6):18-29. |
| [21] | BATTESE G E,T J COELLI. A Model for Technical Inefficiency Effects in a Stochastic Frontier Production Function for Panel Data[J].Empirical Economics,1995,20(2):325-332. |
| [22] | LIN J. Reform and Agricultural Growth in China[J].The American Economic Review, 1992,82(1):34-51. |
| [23] | WAN G H,E CHENG. Effects of Land Fragmentation and Returns to Scales in the Chinese Farming Sector[J]. Applied Economics,2001,33(2):183-194. |
| [24] | 陈书章,徐峥,任晓静,等.我国小麦主产区综合技术效率波动及要素投入优化分析[J].农业技术经济,2012(12):39-50. |
| [25] | 陈风波,丁士军.水稻投入产出与稻农技术需求——对江苏和湖北的调查[J].农业技术经济,2007(6):44-50. |
| [26] | KALIRAJAN K P,M B OBWONA,S ZHAO. A Decomposition of Total Factor Productivity Growth:The Case of Chinese Agricultural Growth before and after the Reforms[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,1996(78):331-338. |
| [27] | 陈海磊,史清华,顾海英.农户土地流转是有效率的吗?——以山西为例[J].中国农村经济,2014(7):61-71. |
| [28] | 魏权龄,岳明.DEA概论与CZR模型——数据包络分析(一)[J].系统工程理论与实践,1989(1):58-69. |
