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-  2016 

考虑可再生能源随机性的孤岛微网容量优化配置方法 Optimal deployment for island microgrid considering probabilistic factors of renewable energy generations

Keywords: 微网,分布式电源,随机性,蒙特卡洛模拟,优化配置

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Abstract:

针对孤岛微网中分布式电源出力存在随机性的问题,提出一种考虑随机性的微网容量优化配置方法.首先对微网内部随机性因素进行建模,利用蒙特卡洛(Monte Carlo)模拟的方法获取随机性出力电源出力与负荷功率;在此基础上,以经济性为主要目标,综合协调可靠性和环保因素,考虑电力平衡等约束,建立微网容量优化配置数学模型,采用遗传算法进行求解,并对结果进行敏感性分析.对某海岛地区微网进行案例分析,结果表明该方法实用有效,且约束条件对求解过程和最终方案的影响较大

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