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-  2018 

基于综合干旱指数的渭河流域干旱时空分析 Comprehensive evaluation index on temporospatial analysis of drought in Weihe River Basin

Keywords: 渭河流域,综合干旱指数,模糊综合评价法,干旱分区,变干趋势

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Abstract:

以渭河流域为研究对象,选取1961~2010年为研究期,基于21个气象站和5个水文站的月降雨、径流及蒸发等资料,综合考虑气象干旱指数(降水距平百分率、标准化降水指数和修正Palmer指数)和水文干旱指数(河道来水量距平百分率),构建了综合干旱指数CDI,采用模糊综合评价法计算得出分区长系列CDI指数,并与PDSI指数和河道来水量距平百分率指数的结果进行对比,验证综合指数的可靠性,基于综合干旱指数分析了渭河流域近50年的干旱时空变化.结果表明:渭河中游、泾河流域、渭河上游、渭河下游、北洛河流域干旱逐渐变轻;20世纪90年代干旱程度迅速加重,最严重的情况出现在1986、1995和1997年;流域各分区干旱主要集中在春、秋两季,4月和11月变干趋势显著.研究成果可为渭河流域极端干旱事件的预防提供一定的参考,也可以应用到其他流域的干旱评价之中

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