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-  2018 

基于Holt指数平滑模型的Klobuchar模型精化
A Sophisticated Klobuchar Model Based on the Holt Exponential Smoothing Model

DOI: 10.13203/j.whugis20150751

Keywords: Klobuchar,Holt指数平滑,VTEC,电离层,时间序列,
Klobuchar
,Holt exponential smoothing model,VTEC,ionosphere,time series

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Abstract:

利用IGS(International GNSS Service)中心提供的中、低纬度地区平静期、活跃期观测数据,通过Klobuchar模型与双频观测模型解算电离层总电子含量(total electron content,TEC)值。采用Holt指数平滑模型对每个历元前6 d两种模型差值进行1 d预测,利用预测所得差值对Klobuchar模型第7 d的TEC值进行改进。实验结果表明,无论在电离层活跃期还是平静期,改进模型改正效果比基本模型有显著提升,改进模型能更好地反映电离层变化特性,尤其是夜间电离层变化特性

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