济南市空气细颗粒物浓度和金属及类金属元素变化趋势和预测
Trend analysis and forecast of the contents of metal and metalloid elements in the air fine particulate matter in Jinan City, China

DOI: 10.6040/j.issn.1671-7554.0.2018.226

Keywords: 细颗粒物,金属及类金属元素,趋势,预测,浓度,
Fine particular matter,Metal and metalloid elements,Tendency,Forecast,Concentration

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

References

[1]	环境保护部, 国家质量监督检验检疫总局. GB3095-2012环境空气质量标准[S]. 北京:中国环境科学出版社, 2016.
[2]	严宙宁, 牟敬锋, 赵星, 等. 基于ARIMA模型的深圳市大气PM<sub>2.5</sub>浓度时间序列预测分析[J]. 现代预防医学, 2018, 45(2): 220-223. YAN Yunin, MU Jingfeng, ZHAO Xing, et al. The time series prediction of PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Shenzhen based on ARIMA model[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2018, 45(2): 220-223.
[3]	高宇钊, 房瑞玲, 李少琼, 等. 太原市大气细颗粒物变化趋势与预测模型分析[J]. 中国药物与临床, 2015, 15(5): 603-606. GAO Yuzhao, FANG Ruiling, LI Shaoqiong, et al. Variation trend and forecast model of atmospheric PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Taiyuan[J]. Chinese Remedies & Clinics, 2015, 15(5): 603-606.
[4]	于扬, 岑况, Stefan Norra,等. 北京市PM<sub>2.5</sub>中主要重金属元素污染特征及季节变化分析[J]. 现代地质, 2012, 23(5): 975-982. YU Yang, CEN Kuang, Srefan Norra, et al. Concentration characteristics and seasonal trend of main heavy metal elements of PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Beijing[J]. Geoscience, 2012, 23(5): 975-982.
[5]	郭新彪, 魏红英. 大气PM<sub>2.5</sub>对健康影响的研究进展[J]. 科学通报, 2013, 58(13): 1171-1177. GUO Xinbiao, WEI Hongying. Progress on the health effects of ambient PM<sub>2.5</sub> pollution[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2013, 58(13): 1171-1177.
[6]	王文朋, 沈惠平, 黄云彪, 等. 大气PM<sub>2.5</sub>细颗粒物污染状况及对人体健康的影响[J]. 上海预防医学, 2015, 27(5): 290.
[7]	Cai Y. Cross-sectional associations between air pollution and chronic bronchitis: an ESCAPE meta-analysis across five cohorts[J]. Thorax, 2014, 69(11): 1005-1014.
[8]	吴俊, 陈晓东, 周连, 等. 南京市某区大气中PM<sub>2.5</sub>污染状况及变化趋势分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2013, 3(2): 77-79. WU Jun, CHEN Xiaodong, ZHOU Lian, et al. Analysis on the pollution status and change trend of PM<sub>2.5</sub> in the atmosphere in Nanjing[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2013, 3(2): 77-79.
[9]	薛江, 蒋德海, 王丹璐, 等. 兰州市冬季和春季PM<sub>2.5</sub>金属元素浓度水平与分布[J]. 中国环境监测, 2015, 31(5): 67-72. XUE Jiang, JIANG Dehai, WANG Danlu, et al. Metal elements in fine particles and distributing characteristic in Lanzhou in winter and spring[J]. Environmental Monitoring in China, 2015, 31(5): 67-72.
[10]	孙湛, 刘素萍, 张谊, 等. 济南市PM<sub>2.5</sub>中金属及类金属元素季节性变化及相关性分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2017, 7(5): 403-407. SUN Zhan, LIU Suping, ZHANG Yi, et al. Analysis of seasonal variation and correlation of metal elements in PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Jinan City[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2017, 7(5): 403-407.
[11]	余家燕, 刘芮伶, 翟崇治, 等. 重庆城区PM<sub>2.5</sub>中金属浓度及其来源[J]. 中国环境监测, 2014, 30(3): 37-42. YU Jiayan, LIU Ruiling, ZHAI Chongzhi, et al. Concentration and source analysis of metals in PM<sub>2.5</sub> in Chongqing urban[J] Environmental Monitoring in China, 2014, 30(3): 37-42.
[12]	杜鹏瑞, 杜睿, 任伟珊. 城市大气颗粒物毒性效应及机制的研究进展[J]. 中国环境科学, 2016, 36(9): 2815-2827. DU Pengrui, DU Rui, REN Weishan. Research progress on toxicological characteristics and mechanisms of urban atmospheric particulate matters[J]. China Environmental Science, 2016, 36(9): 2815-2827.
[13]	胡子梅, 王军, 陶征楷, 等. 上海市PM<sub>2.5</sub>重金属污染水平与健康风险评价[J]. 环境科学学报, 2013, 33(12): 3399-3406. HU Zimei, WANG Jun, TAO Zhengkai, et al. Pollution level and health risk assessment of heavy metals in PM<sub>2.5</sub> Shanghai[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2013, 33(12): 3399-3406.
[14]	梁锐明, 殷鹏, 周脉耕. 大气PM<sub>2.5</sub>长期暴露对健康影响的队列研究进展[J]. 环境与健康杂志, 2016, 33(2): 172-177. LIANG Ruiming, YIN Peng, ZHOU Maigeng. Long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution and health effects: a review of recent cohorts[J]. Journal of Environment and Health, 2016, 33(2): 172-177.
[15]	陶燕, 刘亚梦, 米生权, 等. 大气细颗粒物的污染特征及对人体健康的影响[J]. 环境科学学报, 2014, 34(3): 592-597. TAO Yan, LIU Yameng, MI Shengquan, et al. Atmospheric pollution characteristics of fine particles and their effects on human health[J]. Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae, 2014, 34(3): 592-597.
[16]	谢元博, 陈娟, 李巍. 雾霾重污染期间北京居民对高浓度PM<sub>2.5</sub>持续暴露的健康风险及其损害价值评估[J]. 环境科学, 2014, 35(1): 1-8. XIE Yuanbo, CHEN Juan, LI Wei. An Assessment of PM<sub>2.5</sub> related health risks and impaired values of Beijing residents in a consecutive[J]. Environmental Science, 2014, 35(1): 1-8.
[17]	孙湛, 刘仲, 杨月莲, 等. 济南市冬季灰霾期间儿童唾液溶菌酶浓度分析[J]. 中国公共卫生管理,2016, 32(2): 178-179. SUN Zhan, LIU Zhong, YANG Yuelian, et al. Study on concentration of salivary lysozyme of children in dust-haze days of winter in Ji-nan[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health Management, 2016, 32(2): 178-179.
[18]	胡彬, 陈瑞, 徐建勋, 等. 雾霾超细颗粒物的健康效应[J]. 科学通报, 2015, 60(30): 2808-2823. HU Bin, CHEN Rui, XU Jianxun, et al. Health effects of ambient ultrafine(nano)particles in haze[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 2015, 60(30):2808-2823.
[19]	潘小川. 关注中国大气灰霾PM<sub>2.5</sub>对人群健康影响的新常态[J]. 北京大学学报(医学版), 2015, 47(3): 377-379.
[20]	刘宗伟, 周彩丽, 马冬梅, 等. 自回归移动平均模型在预测PM<sub>2.5</sub>中的应用[J]. 预防医学论坛, 2016, 22(8): 582-584. LIU Zongwei, ZHOU Caili, MA Dongmei, et al. Forecast of PM<sub>2.5</sub> with the ARMA model[J]. Preventive Medicine Tribune, 2016, 22(8): 582-584.
[21]	薛元恺, 周丽玲. 我国灰霾天气成因与防治对策探讨[J].环境卫生学杂志, 2017, 7(3): 248-254. XUE Yuankai, ZHOU Liling. Causes and control measures of hazy weather in China[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2017, 7(3): 248-254.
[22]	陶俊, 张仁健, 段菁春, 等. 北京城区PM<sub>2.5</sub>中致癌重金属季节变化特征及其来源分析[J]. 环境科学, 2014, 35(2): 411-417. TAO Jun, ZHANG Renjian, DUAN Jingchun, et al. Seasonal variation of carcinogenic heavy metals in PM<sub>2.5</sub> and Source Beijing[J]. Environmental Science, 2014, 35(2): 411-417.
[23]	李尉卿, 毛晓明, 李舒, 等. 郑州市近地层1.5和40米处大气气溶胶中微量元素及晶体物质的分布[J]. 现代科学仪器, 2007, 1: 92-95. LI Weiqing, MAO Xiaoming, LI Shu, et al. Vertical distributing of microelements and crystalloids of aerosol in atmosphere anear ground layer of Zhengzhou City[J]. Modern Scientific Instruments, 2007, 1: 92-95.
[24]	乔宝文, 刘子锐, 胡波, 等. 北京冬季PM<sub>2.5</sub>中金属元素浓度特征和来源分析[J]. 环境科学, 2017, 38(3): 876-883. QIAO Baowen, LIU Zirui, HU Bo, et al. Concentration characteristics and sources of trace metals in PM<sub>2.5</sub> during wintertime in Beijing[J]. Environmental Science, 2017, 38(3): 876-883.
[25]	胡跃华, 廖家强, 冯国双, 等. 自回归移动平均模型在全国手足口病疫情预测中的应用[J]. 疾病监测, 2014, 29(10): 827-832. HU Yuehua, LIAO Jiaqiang, FENG Guoshuang, et al. Application of multiple seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model in prediction of incidence of hand foot and mouth disease in China[J]. Disease Surveillance, 2014, 29(10): 827-832.
[26]	Munoz-Tuduri M, Garcia-Moro C, Waiker PL. Time series analysis of the epidemiological transition in Minorca 1634—1997[J]. Hum Biol, 2006, 78(4): 619-634.
[27]	张蕊, 郑黎强, 潘国伟. 疾病发病风险预测模型的应用与建立[J]. 中国卫生统计, 2015, 32(4): 724-726.
[28]	范引光, 吕金伟, 戴色莺, 等. ARIMA模型与灰色预测模型GM(1,1)在HIV感染人数预测中的应用[J]. 中华疾病控制杂志, 2012, 16(12): 1100-1103. FAN Yinguang, LU Jinwei, DAI Seyin, et al. Prediction on the number of HIV with models of ARIMA and GM(1,1)[J]. Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention, 2012, 16(12): 1100-1103.
[29]	燕丽, 杨金田. 我国大气细颗粒物污染现状及控制对策探讨[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境, 2013, 23(S2): 82-84.
[30]	张桂芹, 刘泽常, 杜世勇. 济南市环境空气细粒子PM<sub>2.5</sub>污染特征及影响因素[J]. 环境科学与技术, 2010, 33(S2): 520. ZHANG Guiqin, LIU Zechang, DU Shiyong. Pollution characteristics of fine particles PM<sub>2.5</sub> and influence factors in Jinan City[J]. Environmental Science & Technology, 2010, 33(S2): 520.
[31]	World Health Organization. Review of evidence on health aspects of air pollution-REVIHAAP Project[R]. Copenhagen: World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe, 2013: 1-302.
[32]	Kang I G. The effect of PM<sub>10</sub> on allergy symptoms in allergic rhinitis patients during spring season[J]. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 2015, 12(1): 735-745.
[33]	刘仲, 于志刚, 孙湛, 等. 2013年济南市采暖季大气细颗粒物污染监测分析[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2015, 5(6): 520-524. LIU Zhong, YU Zhigang, SUN Zhan, et al. Fine particulate matters analysis in air during heating season in Jinan in 2013[J]. Journal of Environmental Hygiene, 2015, 5(6): 520-524.

Full-Text