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大连海事大学学报 2016
航运企业危机预警的多指标可拓评估Keywords: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71402038),教育部人文社会科学项目(11YJC630131),教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划资助项目(IRT13048),辽宁省高校创新团队支持计划资助项目(LT2013011). Abstract: 从航运企业的危机潜在诱发因素入手,详细阐述危机诱发因素的信息收集要求以及辨识方法,建立一套完整的危机预警指标体系,并借助多指标可拓综合评价法构建航运企业危机预警的多指标可拓评估模型.实证研究表明,本文可用量化手段提高危机预警的精准程度,从而协助航运企业准确辨识潜在危机.The information collection and recognization method of crisis were elaborated starting with the potential crisis including factors of shipping enterprises. Meanwhile, a complete set of crisis early warning index system was established, and by means of the multi-index comprehensive evaluation method, the multi-index comprehensive evaluation model of shipping enterprise crisis early warning was built. The empirical study proves that the accuracy of warning crisis by quantized method is improved, which is useful to strengthen the capacity of distinguishing for the shipping enterprises potential crisis.
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