中国房地产业快速发展奇迹:驱动因素与可持续性研究

摘要 改革开放40年来，包括房地产业在内的中国经济取得了持续快速发展。通过对中国房地产业的投入、产出、社会影响及国际比较的分析发现，中国房地产业发展是一个奇迹。这个奇迹是在住房商品化、市场化、资本化和金融化的推动下经历了房地产业复苏、快速发展、加速发展和持续发展四个发展阶段演进实现的。中国房地产业快速发展得益于城镇化等带来的巨大发展机遇、住房制度创新、劳动力和资金等生产要素持续投入、多种住房需求的共同拉动以及相关产业支撑等。当前中国房地产业正处于转型的关键阶段，需要以制度创新和技术创新来优化整合要素投入，向以房地产服务业为核心的发展方向演进，加快转变产业发展模式，从而有效推动这一产业持续健康发展。
Abstract： The Chinese economy, including the real estate industry, has achieved sustained and rapid development in the past 40 years of the practice of reform and opening up. Through the analysis of China's real estate industry's input, output and social impact, as well as with an international comparison, we can conclude that the development of China's real estate industry is a miracle. This miracle has been realized through four stages, including the recovery of real estate industry, its rapid development, accelerated development and sustainable development, under the impetus of commodification, marketization, capitalization and financialization. The rapid development of Chinese real estate industry is driven by the tremendous development opportunities brought about by urbanization, housing system innovation by the central and local governments, continuous invest of labor and capital factors, pull power of housing demand and support from related industries. At present, China's real estate industry is at a critical stage of transformation. It is necessary to optimize the input of integrated factors with institutional innovation and technological innovation, to evolve toward the development direction of the real estate service industry, and to accelerate the transformation of the industrial development model so as to promote effectively the sustainable and healthy development of the real estate industry.