高房价抑制新企业进入了吗?——来自于中国工业企业的经验证据

摘要 基于中国工业企业微观数据，利用负二项回归模型考察房价对新建企业选址的影响，其实证结果发现，在控制聚集经济等各种变量的情况下，由于中国工业制造业工人工资与房价的不相关性和中国土地市场的垄断性，房价并没有发挥抑制新企业进入的作用，反而显著提升了新企业进入的概率，这不利于企业在地区间的合理分布。因此，采取合理措施提高制造业工人的工资谈判能力和削弱中国土地市场的垄断性，有助于促进中国企业在大中小城市的合理布局，缩小区域间经济发展的差距。
Abstract： Based on China's industrial firm level data during 2001-2007, this paper applies Negative Binomial Model to estimate the impacts of housing price on the location of new manufacturing firms. Because of the wages of China's manufacturing workers do not relate with housing price and the monopolization of China's land market, high housing price has not hindered the entry of new firms but obviously increased its possibility. This is not conducive to the reasonable spatial distribution of China's firms. Therefore,in order to lead to a reasonable distribution of China's firms among cities of different sizes and narrow the economic development gap between regions, it is necessary to adopt policies to raise workers' wage bargaining power and weaken the monopolization of China's land market.