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A Simple Model of Currency Notes Withdrawal

DOI: 10.4236/tel.2018.814198, PP. 3196-3202

Keywords: Demonetization, Expected Payoff, Risky Asset, Optimal Portfolio

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Abstract:

In the backdrop of the demonetization move by the Government of India, this paper proposes a model of optimal currency holding when there is a possibility of currency withdrawal. Our results indicate that if the perceived probability of withdrawal of higher denomination currency is very high, then agents would eventually hold cash in lower denomination currency only, thereby making the higher currency notes redundant. Thus, one of the targets of demonetization, which is less holding of higher currency notes, can be achieved without actually implementing demonetization.

References

[1]  Dasgupta, D. (2016) Theoretical Analysis of Demonetisation. Economic and Political Weekly, 51, 67-71.
[2]  Kohli, V. and Ramakumar, R. (2017) Economic Rationale of Demonetisation. Economic and Political Weekly, 51, 67-71.
[3]  Kumar, A. (2017) Economic Consequences of Demonetisation Money Supply and Economic Structure. Economic and Political Weekly, 52, 14-17.
[4]  Waknis, P. (2017) Demonetisation through Segmented Markets: Some Theoretical Perspectives. Economic and Political Weekly, 52, 30-32.
[5]  Rogoff, K.S. (2016) The Curse of Cash. Princeton University Press, New Jersey.
https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400883219
[6]  Varian, H.R. (2010) Intermediate Microeconomics: A Modern Approach. 8th Edition, W. W. Norton & Company, New York.

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