基于因子分析的旅游产业发展潜力评价实证研究
An Empirical Study on the Development Potential of Tourism Industry Based on Factor Analysis

DOI: 10.12677/GSER.2016.53023, PP. 220-230

Keywords: 旅游产业发展潜力，因子分析，主成份，对策与建议，昆明市
Tourism Industry Development Potential, Factor Analysis, Principal Component, Countermeasure and Suggestion, Kunming City

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

文章利用29项具体指标构建了旅游需求内生力、旅游基础保障力、旅游外在支持力、旅游供给主动力等四大指标层，形成了全新的指标体系。并搜集昆明市2006-2015年29项相关旅游数据，建立数据文件，利用SPSS20.0统计软件对数据进行主成份提取处理，进行公共因子的提取，对昆明市旅游发展潜力进行了实证研究，提出了昆明市旅游产业潜力提升的对策与建议。
The article used 29 special indicators, constructed four index layers, which included Miguel internal tourism demand, tourism infrastructure security force, travel supportive external force and tourism supply active force, and formed a new index system. And then it collected 29 tourism-re- lated data during 2006-2015 from Kunming, established a data file, and used SPSS20.0 statistical software for data principal component extraction process, and extracted the common factor. Through the empirical research of development potential of tourism industry in Kunming, measures and suggestions of the improvement of Kunming tourism’s industry potential are pre-sented.

References

[1]	魏小安. 中国旅游业发展的十大趋势[J]. 湖南社会科学, 2003(16): 91-98.
[2]	胡曾曾. 咸宁市旅游业发展潜力评价实证研究[J]. 经济论坛, 2013(2): 64-68.
[3]	Mc Kercher, B. (1993) The Unrecognized Threat to Tourism: Can Tourism Survive. Sustaina-bility Tourism Management, 14, 131-136. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0261-5177(93)90046-N
[4]	Hunter, C. (1997) Sustainable Tourism as an Adaptive Paradigm. Annals of Tourism Research, 21, 850-867. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0160-7383(97)00036-4
[5]	Priskin, J. (2001) Assessment of Natural Resources for Nature Based Tourism: The Case of the Central Coast Region of Western Australia. Tourism Management, 22, 637-646. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0261-5177(01)00039-5
[6]	Jackson, J. (2006) Developing Regional Tourism in China: The Potential for Activating Business Clusters in a social Market Economy. Tourism Management, 27, 695-706. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2005.02.007
[7]	马勇, 董观志. 区域旅游持续发展潜力模型研究[J]. 旅游学刊, 1997(4): 37-41．
[8]	曹新向. 中国省域旅游业发展潜力的比较研究[J]. 人文地理, 2007, 22(1): 18-22.
[9]	王兆峰. 区域旅游产业发展潜力评价指标体系构建[J]. 华东经济管理, 2008, 22(10): 31-35.
[10]	丁建军, 朱群惠. 我国区域旅游产业发展潜力的时空差异研究[J]. 旅游学刊, 2012, 27(2): 52-61.
[11]	王学峰, 张辉. 区域旅游发展潜力评价体系构建及应用研究——以西部地区为例[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2013, 27(12): 203-208.
[12]	毛昕, 明庆忠, 王成, 王辉, 贺珉. 基于因子聚类分析法的省域旅游业发展潜力评价研究[J]. 旅游研究, 2015, 7(4): 45-53.
[13]	田胜圭. 重庆市旅游业发展潜力评价[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 重庆: 西南大学, 2011.

Full-Text