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OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
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考虑碳汇收益的林地期望值最大化及其敏感性分析――以杉木和马尾松为例
DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-2006.2013.04.027, PP. 143-148
Keywords: 成本收益,碳汇收益,林地期望值,敏感性分析
Abstract:
基于我国南方集体林区杉木、马尾松成本收益的基础数据,运用生长方程及碳贮量生物量转变和扩展因子法分别对杉木、马尾松的碳贮量进行估算,通过构建修正后的hartman模型,对比了考虑和不考虑碳汇收益的林地期望值,并模拟分析了贴现率、投入品价格和产出品价格变动对考虑碳汇收益的林地期望值的敏感性。研究结果表明:(1)杉木轮伐期约为马尾松的一半,但单一轮伐期内净收益却高于马尾松;(2)两树种林地期望值均呈现倒“u”形,两者差距先增大后减小;(3)贴现率与林地期望值呈负相关,同一价格因子对不同树种的敏感性存在差异。
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