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基于可达性的高速铁路站点影响力评价研究

Keywords: 高速铁路站点,可达性,影响力模型

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Abstract:

随着高速铁路网络不断完善及其社会经济影响逐渐凸显,高速铁路影响力的评价与预测成为区域经济理论研究的热点与交通系统发展的重要理论基础。以京沪高速铁路为例,分析了高速铁路站点对沿线各个区域可达性的影响,并以可达性与社会经济发展的相关性为基础,建立了高速铁路站点影响力动态评价模型,并对京沪沿线高速铁路站点的影响力进行了预测。研究结果表明:高速铁路对沿线城市的影响力可以分为3个层次,其中北京、上海作为中心城市所受影响最大,第三产业发达的城市所受影响较大。同时,通过分析高速铁路站点影响力随时间变化的趋势与高速铁路线路的拓扑结构,发现高速铁路站点的影响力与其所处拓扑位置之间存在显著相关关系,即靠近线路两端的城市所受影响更大。

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