全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
地球学报  2010 

铜、铝需求“S”形规律的三个转变点剖析

DOI: 10.3975/cagsb.2010.05.07

Keywords: ,,需求顶点,转变点

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

本文分析了铜、铝人均消费“S”形轨迹的三个重要转变点;找出了理论上铝的三个转变点出现时间,指出铜和铝人均消费的三个重要转变点出现的时间比较接近,铝略早于铜。以此为基础,分析了我国未来铜、铝需求趋势,发现,2020年前后,我国铜和铝将达到需求峰值,届时需求量均将比目前水平增长1倍。

References

[1]  王安建;王高尚;陈其慎;于汶加.矿产资源需求理论与模型预测[J].地球学报,2010(02)
[2]  陈其慎;王安建;王高尚,钢、水泥需求"S"形规律的三个转变点剖析,地球学报,2010(05).
[3]  陈平华,铜消费增长的实证分析与预测,改革发展,2004(11).
[4]  JIANG Chang-wu,Is china copper demand reach the top,Non-Ferrous Metals Recycling and Utilization,2005(12).
[5]  MEN Cui-shuang.Analysis And Forecast Of Aluminum Market[J].Light Metals,2003(11)
[6]  LI Yu-ping,Consumption Forecast of copper and aluminum materials in China,World nonferrous metals,.
[7]  王安建;王高尚;陈其慎;于汶加,周风英,韩淑琴,闫强,张照志,牛建英,汪莉丽,耿诺,能源与国家经济发展,北京:地质出版社,2008.
[8]  门翠双.铝市场分析与预测[J].轻金属,2003(11)
[9]  李玉萍,我国铜铝材消费预测,世界有色金属,1999(11).
[10]  姜昌武.中国铜消费达到顶峰了吗[J].有色金属再生与利用,2005(12)
[11]  何金祥.美国铜消费量与GDP的关系[J].国土资源情报,2006(06)
[12]  何金祥.从近25年来美国铝金属的生产与消费特点看美国铝矿业的发展状况和前景[J].国土资源情报,2006(11)
[13]  高芯蕊;王安建,基于"S"规律的中围钢需求预测,地球学报,2010(05).
[14]  ZHENG Wen-rui;ZHANG Guo-liang,The Application of Fuzzy Time Series Analysis Method in Forecasting of Copper,World Journal of Gastroenterology,1999(03).
[15]  WANG Gao-shang,A forecast of trend of world demands of copper and aluminum in future twenty years,World nonferrous metals,2003(07).
[16]  WANG Gao-shang;HAN Mei.The Prediction of the Demand on Important Mineral Resources in China[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2002(06)
[17]  WANG An-jian,Global Resource Structure and its Perspective,Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2010(05).
[18]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;ZHANG Jian-hua;ZHOU Feng-ying,HAN Shu-qin,CHEN Xuan-hua,YIN Xiu-lan,HAN Mei,Mineral Resources and National Economic Development,北京:地震出版社,2002.
[19]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;CHEN Qi-shen;YU Wen-jia.The Mineral Resources Demand Theory and the Prediction Model[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2010(02)
[20]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;CHEN Qi-shen;YU Wen-jia,ZHOU Feng-ying,HAN Shu-qin,YAN Qiang,ZHANG Zhao-zhi,NIU Jian-ying,WANG Li-li,GENG Nuo,Energy and national economic development,北京:地质出版社,2008.
[21]  HE Jin-xiang,The relationship between U.S.copper consumption and GDP,Land and Resources Information,2006(06).
[22]  HE Jin-xiang,The development situation and prospects of American aluminum mining:characteristics of the U.S.aluminum production and consumption during the last 25 years,Land and Resources Information,2006(11).
[23]  GAO Xin-rui;WANG An-jian,The Prediction of China\'s Steel Demand Based on S-shaped Regularity,Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2010(05).
[24]  CHEN Qi-shen;WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang,An Analysis of the Three Turning Points in the "S-Shape" Rule of Steel and Cement Demand,Acta Geosciantica Sinica,2010(05).
[25]  CHEN Ping-hua,The Analysis and Prediction Of Copper Consumption Growth,Reform and development,2004(11).
[26]  郑文瑞;张国良,模糊时间序列分析方法在铜资源消费预测中的应用,世界地质,1999(03).
[27]  王高尚,未来20年世界铜铝需求趋势预测,世界有色金属,2003(07).
[28]  王高尚;韩梅.中国重要矿产需求预测[J].地球学报,2002(06)
[29]  王安建,世界资源格局与展望,地球学报,2010(05).
[30]  王安建;王高尚;张建华;周风英,韩淑琴,陈宣华,殷秀兰,韩梅,矿产资源与国家经济发展,北京:地震出版社,2002.

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133