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地球学报  2010 

钢、水泥需求“S”形规律的三个转变点剖析

DOI: 10.3975/cagsb.2010.05.06

Keywords: 钢铁,水泥,需求顶点,转变点,消费强度

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Abstract:

本文剖析了人均钢、水泥消费“S”形轨迹的三个重要转变点,论述了人均消费量和消费强度变化规律的影响因素和内在机制,阐述了产业部门钢消费强度的倒“U”形轨迹,在分析国内外经济结构演变趋势的基础上,提出我国第二产业占GDP比例已经达到顶点,指出钢、水泥消费强度顶点大小及到来的时间。

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