全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
地球学报  2010 

中国能源消费“零增长”何时到来

DOI: 10.3975/cagsb.2010.05.04

Keywords: 能源消费,“零增长”,预测

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

本文总结了发达国家能源消费“零增长”区域经济社会及能源消费指标的特征,结合中国实际,运用人均能源消费“S”形规律,综合各部门未来能源需求趋势的判断,全面预测了中国未来25年的能源需求。指出中国能源消费“零增长”将在2030-2035年间到来,“零增长”点的能源需求总量将达43.6亿吨油当量,人均能源消费量2.98吨油当量。

References

[1]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;CHEN Qi-shen;YU Wen-jia.The mineral resources demand theory and the prediction model[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2010(02)
[2]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;CHEN Qi-shen;YU Wen-jia,ZHOU Feng-ying,HAN Shu-qin,YAN Qiang,ZHANG Zhao-zhi,NIU Jian-ying,WANG Li-li,GENG Nuo,Energy and national economic development,北京:地质出版社,2008.
[3]  UN-HABITAT Urbanization statistics 2010
[4]  TAO Ju-chun,Trend extrapolation forecasting mode identification and selection of studies,兰州:西北师范大学,2005.
[5]  SONG Chun-mei.China\'s Energy Demand Forecast and Energy Structure Studies[J].Academic Exchange,2009(05)
[6]  QIU Hui-li,For a number of input-output model,Modem business,2009(33).
[7]  National Bureau of Statistics of China Statistical Communiqu of the People\'s Republic of China on the 2009 National Economic and Social Development 2010
[8]  LU Er-po,China\'s energy demand forecast model,Statistics and Decisions,2005(20).
[9]  International Energy Agency World Energy Balances 2010
[10]  International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook 2009 2008
[11]  GGDC Total economy database 2010
[12]  GAO Li-min,Shanxi Province,the number of columns of gray mineral resources prediction and assessment,太原:太原理工大学,2001.
[13]  FENG Shu-hu,Shandong Province,Demand Forecast of Energy and Mines,Mining research and development,2007(02).
[14]  Energy Information of Administration International Energy Out-look 2009 2008
[15]  Chinese society for urban studies,China\'s low carbon eco-city development strategy,北京:中国城市出版社,2009.
[16]  中国城市科学研究会,中国低碳生态城市发展战略,北京:中国城市出版社,2009.
[17]  于汶加;王安建.解析全球能源需求预测结果及相关模型体系[J].资源与产业,2009(03)
[18]  于汶加;王安建;闫强.论发达国家能源消费零增长[J].商业时代,2009(12)
[19]  王高尚;韩梅.中国重要矿产资源的需求预测[J].地球学报,2002(06)
[20]  王安建;王高尚;陈其慎;于汶加.矿产资源需求理论与模型预测[J].地球学报,2010(02)
[21]  冯述虎.山东省能源矿产需求预测研究[J].矿业研究与开发,2007(02)
[22]  仇惠丽.对投入产出模型的一些探讨[J].现代商业,2009(33)
[23]  陶菊春.趋势外推预测模型的识别与选择研究[J].西北师范大学学报,2005(06)
[24]  王安建;王高尚;陈其慎;于汶加 周凤英,韩淑琴,闫强,张照志,牛建英,汪莉丽,耿诺,能源与国家经济发展,北京:地质出版社,2008.
[25]  LUO Xiang-long;ZHAO Liang,Input-output method in the petrochemical energy forecasting application,Energy Saving,2003(03).
[26]  宋春梅.中国能源需求预测与能源结构研究[J].学术交流,2009(05)
[27]  罗向龙;赵亮.投入产出法在石化企业能源预测中的应用[J].节能,2003(03)
[28]  卢二坡.我国能源需求预测模型研究[J].统计与决策,2005(20)
[29]  国家统计局 2009国民经济和社会发展统计公报 2010
[30]  高丽敏.山西省矿产资源灰色数列预测与评估[J].太原理工大学学报,2001(02)
[31]  YU Wen-jia;WANG An-jian,Analysis of Global Energy Demand Projection And The Model Systems,Resouces & Industries,2009(3).
[32]  YU wen-jia;WANG An-jian;YAN Qiang,Zero growth of energy consumption in developed country,Commercial Times,2009(12).
[33]  WB Agriculture,Industy,Service,etc,value added 2010
[34]  WANG Gao-shang;HAN Mei,The demand forecast of China\'s important mineral resources,Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2002(06).

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133