全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
地球学报  2010 

典型国家部门石油消费轨迹及对中国的启示

DOI: 10.3975/cagsb.2010.05.08

Keywords: 石油,部门石油消费,消费轨迹

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

本文通过分析发达国家部门石油消费历史,系统揭示了各部门消费具有如下轨迹:工业、商业和民用部门呈倒“U”形变化,工业部门在人均GDP10000~13000美元到达消费顶点,民用部门顶点出现在人均GDP11000~15000美元,商业则在人均15000~20000美元时到达消费峰值区。交通部门呈“S”形轨迹变化,消费量已占石油总消费的60%,消费顶点对应的人均GDP在20000~22000美元之间;工业-民用-商业-交通各部门消费顶点呈波次性出现。以发达国家石油部门消费轨迹为基础,结合中国消费现状,指出中国各部门石油消费仍沿着发达国家的消费轨迹呈上升趋势;对交通部门的分析表明,发达国家的石油消费模式对中国而言不可持续,必须通过节能降耗、科技创新等有效手段,从根本上转变消费模式,积极走新型发展之路。

References

[1]  LIU Hong-jie,Empirical analysis of the relation between oil consumption and economic development in china-a study based on different industries,Journal of Hebei University of Science and Technology,2007(04).
[2]  李铭;王高尚;于汶加;刘占成,中国石油资源安全评价,地球学报,2010(05).
[3]  国家统计局国民经济综合统计司,新中国六十年统计资料汇编,北京:中国统计出版社,2010.
[4]  王安建;王高尚;陈其慎;于汶加 周凤英,韩淑琴,闫强,张照志,牛建英,汪莉丽,耿诺,能源与国家经济发展,北京:地质出版社,2008.
[5]  刘宏杰.中国石油消费与经济发展之间经济计量分析-基于产业层面的研究[J].河北科技大学学报,2007(04)
[6]  林建;王安建;于汶加;邹愉,石油期货市场机制及对中国石油安全的影响,地球学报,2010(05).
[7]  李玉喜;张道勇;朱杰.我国油气储量、产量增长趋势影响因素分析[J].地球学报,2009(06)
[8]  李小地.70年代石油危机后美国的石油消费政策及其实施效果[J].国际石油经济,2006(11)
[9]  ZHU Kang-fu,Deliberations on the rapid increase of china\'s petroleum consumption-discnssion of trends in primary energy production and consumption stractare,International Petroleum Economics,1994(06).
[10]  ZHOU Wei;SZYLIOWICZ J S,General report on sustainable transport discussion group,Beijing:China Council for International Cooperation on Environment and Development,2005.
[11]  ZHANG Zhao-zhi;WANG An-jian,Research on the Relationship between OPEC Oil Production Quotas System and Oil Prices,Acts Geosciantica Sinica,2010(05).
[12]  YU Wen-jia;WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang,A Prediction on the Time of Realizing Zero Growth of Energy Consumption in China,Acts Geoscieutica Sinica,2010(05).
[13]  XU Ming-cheu;WANG An-jian;CHEN Qi-shen;DU Xue-ming,Trend Analysis of China\'s Energy Consumption Intensity,Acts Geoscientica Sinica,2010(05).
[14]  WANG An-jian,Global Resource Structure and its Perspective,Acts Geoscientica Sinica,2010(05).
[15]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;CHEN Qi-shen;YU Wan-jia.The mineral resources demand theory and the prediction model[J].Acta Gensciantica Sinica,2010(02)
[16]  LIN Jian;WANG An-jian;YU Wen-jia;ZOU Yu,An Analysis of Petroleum Futures Market Mechanism and Its Influence on China\'s Oil Security,Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2010(05).
[17]  王安建,世界资源格局与展望,地球学报,2010(05).
[18]  王安建;王高尚;陈其慎;于汶加.矿产资源需求理论与模型预测[J].地球学报,2010(02)
[19]  WANG An-jian;WANG Gao-shang;CHEN Qi-shen;YU Wen-jia,ZHOU Feng-ying,HAN Shu-qin,YAN Qiang,ZHANG Zhao-zhi,NIU Jian-ying,WANG Li-li,GENG Nuo,Energy and national economic development,北京:地质出版社,2008.
[20]  NEKRASOVA O A,An energy consumption forecast for the Soviet residential and commercial sector,Energy Economics? ,1991, 13(01).
[21]  王高尚;韩梅.中国重要矿产需求预测[J].地球学报,2002(06)
[22]  LI Yu-xi;ZHANG Dao-yong;ZHU Jie.Factors that Affect the Increasing Trends of China\'s Oil and Gas Reserves and Products[J].Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2009(06)
[23]  LI Xiao-di,US\'s oil consumption policies and their effects following the 1970s-oil-crises,International Petroleum Economics,2006(11).
[24]  LI Ming;WANG Gao-shang;YU Wen-jia;LILT Zhan-cheng,An Evaluation of China\'s Oil Security,Acta Geoscientica Sinica,2010(05).
[25]  KOURIS G,Fuel consumption for road transport in the USA,Energy Economics,1982(02).
[26]  International Energy Agency Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries 2010
[27]  International Energy Agency Energy Balances of OECD Countries 2010
[28]  GGDC Total economy database 2010
[29]  Department of comprehensive statistics of national bureau of statistics,China Compendium of Statistics 1949-2008,北京:中国统计出版社,2010.
[30]  BP BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2010
[31]  BOPP A E,Tests for structural change in US oil consumption,1967-1982,Energy Economics? ,1984, 6(04).
[32]  朱康福,有关我国石油消费快速增长的思考-兼论一次能源生产与消费结构的变化趋势,国际石油经济,1994(06).
[33]  周伟;斯杰里奥维奇,可持续交通课题组总报告,北京:中国环境与发展国际合作委员会,2005.
[34]  张照志;王安建,欧佩克石油生产配额制度与油价关系研究,地球学报,2010(05).
[35]  于汶加;王安建;王高尚,中国能源消费"零增长"何时到来,地球学报,2010(05).
[36]  徐铭辰;王安建;陈其慎;杜雪明,中国能源消费强度趋势分析,地球学报,2010(05).

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133