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地球学报  2010 

中国能源消费强度趋势分析

DOI: 10.3975/cagsb.2010.05.16

Keywords: 能源消费强度,部门能源消费强度,人均GDP,趋势分析

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Abstract:

本文分析了发达国家农业、工业、交通、商业以及生活五大部门能源消费强度的变化轨迹,探讨了各部门能源消费强度变化的动因。在此基础上,结合中国能源消费强度分析,运用部门能源消费强度法预测了我国一次能源消费强度的变化趋势。研究表明,中国能源消费强度呈现不断下降的趋势,2020年中国能源消费强度将比2005年下降35%。能源消费强度的变化趋势与工业化进程密切相关,调整产业结构和能源结构、提升能源利用效率,是未来中国降低能源消费强度的最有力措施。

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