全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...
地质论评  2003 

时序马尔可夫模型和有限元模型在中国北方型岩溶水资源评价中的应用―以徐州市张集水源地裂隙岩溶水为例

Keywords: 中国裂隙岩溶水时序马尔可夫模型有限元模型地下水资源水源地评价徐州市

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

为满足城市不断发展对水资源的需求,本文分析了徐州市拟建水源地――张集水源地水文地质条件,建立了与研究区裂隙岩溶含水层相适应的三维数学模型,并用等参有限元方法求解。考虑到大气降水的多寡及其分配状况是影响地下水资源评价的最终决定因素,而且具有随机分布性质,建立了研究区大气降水的时间序列――马尔可夫模型,其精度高于单一的时间序列模型,与有限元方法结合并用于评价该区的地下水资源,得出水源地地下水允许开采量为16.71×10~4m~3/d。结论对水源地地下水资源可持续开发利用方案的确定提供了科学依据,同时对中国其他类似地区地下水资源正确评价具有重要的参考价值。

References

[1]  Dong Sheng, Liu Defu. 1999. Grey Markov Model for predicting the maximum water level every year. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, (1): 60~64 (in Chinese with English abstract).
[2]  Knotters M, van Walsum P E V. 1997. Estimating fluctuation quantities from time series of water-table depths using models with a stochastic component. J. Hydrol. , 197(1) :25~46.
[3]  National Criterion of People\'s Republic of China: Technical Request of management model for groundwater resource. (GB/T14497-93).Being into effect on March 1, 1994 (in Chinese).
[4]  Qian Jiazhong, Zhu Xueyu, Wu Jianfeng, Pan Guoying. 2000. Grey Markov Model for predicting mine discharge. Journal of China Coal Society, 25(1) :71~75 (in Chinese with English abstract).
[5]  Simon B, Disney R L. 1984. Markov renewal process and renewal process: Some conditions for equivalence. New Zealand Oper.Res. , 12(1):19~29.
[6]  Wu Jianfeng, Zhu Xueyu, Liu Jianli. 1999. Using genetic algorithm based simulated annealing penalty function to solve groundwater management model. Science in China (series E), 42(5): 521~529.
[7]  Xie Chunhong, Zhu Xueyu, Huang Weihua, et al. 1988. Evaluation on fracture-karst water resources in a well field in Xuzhou City.Carsologica Sinica, 7 (3): 265 ~ 272 (in Chinese with English abstract).
[8]  Yan Ying, Cheng Shixue, Cheng Kan. 1995. Operational Research and Stochastic Model. Beijing: China People\'s University Press,99~145 (in Chinese).
[9]  Zhou Nianqing, Qian Jiazhong, Wu Jianfeng, Zhu Xueyu, Li Genyi.2001. The controlling mechanism of the preferred plane on groundwater flow and the determination and application of preferred parameters in the karst in Northern China. Geological Review, 47(2):151~156 (in Chinese with English abstract).

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133