全部 标题 作者
关键词 摘要

OALib Journal期刊
ISSN: 2333-9721
费用:99美元

查看量下载量

相关文章

更多...

过去1000年不同强迫因子对中国东部5~9月降水及其环流场特征影响分析

Keywords: 不同强迫因子,中国东部,降水,环流场

Full-Text   Cite this paper   Add to My Lib

Abstract:

利用CCSM2.0全球耦合气候系统模式在不同强迫因子下模拟的近千年降水、温度、500hPa位势高度场、850hPa和200hPa风场资料,以及NCEP再分析资料、GPCP降水观测再分析资料、青海德令哈地区近千年降水重建资料,对过去1000年我国东部5~9月降水及环流场特征进行了初步研究。在考虑自然和人为因子的共同影响下,模拟结果与观测资料及重建资料的对比表明模式对于降水和环流场具有较好的模拟能力,东部地区降水与温度的变化存在显著的正相关,两者的相关系数达到0.46。对模拟结果的EOF分析表明中世纪暖期及20世纪暖期主要表现为长江以南与以北地区降水变化趋势相反的特征,而小冰期主要表现为长江流域大部地区与华北北部及华南大部地区降水变化趋势相反的特征。Morlet小波分析表明东部地区5~9月降水存在着显著的2~8年年际振荡周期,准16年、准32年、准64年的年代际振荡周期,以及准100年、准200年、准256年的百年以上振荡周期。对不同特征时期降水所对应的环流场特征分析表明中世纪暖期和20世纪暖期的环流场具有一定的相似性,而小冰期的环流场与两者相比具有显著的差异。

References

[1]  Mann M E, Bradley R S,Hughes M K.Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences,uncertainties,and limitations.Geophysical Research Letters,1999, 26 (6):759~762
[2]  Jones P D, Mann M E.Climate over past millennia.Reviews of Geophysics,2004, 42 :1~42
[3]  Soon W, Baliunas S,Idso C et al.Reconstructing climate and environmental changes of the past 1000 years: A reappraisal.Energy and Environment,2003, 14 (2/3):233~296
[4]  葛全胜,郑景云,方修琦等.过去2000年中国东部冬半年温度变化.第四纪研究,2002, 22 (2):166~173 浏览
[5]  郑景云,王绍武.中国过去2000年气候变化的评估.地理学报,2005, 60 (1):21~31
[6]  张德二,刘传志.《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》续补(1980~1992年).气象,1993, 19 (11):41~45
[7]  Zhang De''er,Liu Chuanzhi.Supplement of yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500-year period(1980~1992).Meteorological Monthly,1993, 19 (11):41~45
[8]  张德二,李小泉,梁有叶.《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》的再续补(1993~2000年).应用气象学报,2003, 14 (3):379~389
[9]  Zhang De''er,Li Xiaoquan,Liang Youye.Supplement of yearly charts of dryness/wetness in China for the last 500-year period(1993~2000).Journal of Applied Meteorological Science,2003, 14 (3):379~389
[10]  张德二,刘月巍.北京清代"晴雨录"降水记录的再研究——应用多因子回归方法重建北京(1724~1904年)降水量序列.第四纪研究,2002, 22 (3):199~208 浏览
[11]  Zhang De''er,Liu Yuewei.A new appoach to the reconstruction of temporal rainfall sequences from 1724~1904 Qing-Dynasty weather records for Beijing.Quaternary Sciences,2002, 22 (3):199~208
[12]  邵雪梅,黄 磊,刘洪滨等.树轮记录的青海德令哈地区千年降水变化.中国科学(D辑),2004, 34 (2):145~153
[13]  Shao Xuemei,Huang Lei,Liu Hongbin et al.Reconstruction of precipitation variation from tree rings in recent 1000 years in Delingha,Qinghai.Science in China(Series D),2004, 34 (2):145~153
[14]  姚檀栋,杨梅学,康兴成.从古里雅冰芯与祁连山树轮记录看过去2000年气候变化.第四纪研究,2001, 21 (6):514~519 浏览
[15]  Yao Tangdong,Yang Meixue,Kang Xingcheng.Comparative study of the climate changes in the past 2000 years by using ice core and tree ring records.Quaternary Sciences,2001, 21 (6):514~519
[16]  Zheng Jingyun, Wang Wei-Chyung,Ge Quansheng et al.Precipitation variability and extreme events in Eastern China during the past 1500 years.Terrestrial Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences,2006, 17 (3):579~592
[17]  葛全胜,郭熙凤,郑景云等.1736年以来长江中下游梅雨变化.科学通报,2007, 52 (23):2792~2797
[18]  Ge Quansheng,Guo Xifeng,Zheng Jingyun et al.The variations of Mei-Yu over the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River since 1736. Chinese Science Bulletin,2007, 52 (23):2792~2797
[19]  王绍武,黄建斌.近千年中国东部夏季雨带位置的变化.气候变化研究进展,2006, 2 (3):117~121
[20]  Wang Shaowu,Huang Jianbin.The variations of geographical latitude of rain belts in summer over Eastern China during the last millennium.Advanced in Climate Change Research,2006, 2 (3):117~121
[21]  张德二,梁有叶.近五百年我国北方多雨年及其与温度背景的关联.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (5):863~870 浏览
[22]  Zhang De''er,Liang Youye.Pluvial years among the last 500 years in North China and their relationship to the temperature background.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (5):863~870
[23]  杨 保,谭 明.近千年东亚夏季风演变历史重建及与区域温湿变化关系的讨论.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (5):880~887 浏览
[24]  Yang Bao,Tan Ming.Variability of the East Asian summer monsoon and its relationship with regional temperature and moisture change during the last millennium.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (5):880~887
[25]  陈 星,徐 韵.过去1000年气候模拟比较和机制分析.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (6):1115~1124 浏览
[26]  Chen Xing,Xu Yun.Climate of the past 1000 years: Simulation and mechanism.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (6):1115~1124
[27]  张 洁,周天军,满文敏等.气候系统模式FGOALS_gl模拟的小冰期气候.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (6):1125~1134 浏览
[28]  Zhang Jie,Zhou Tianjun,Man Wenmin et al.The transient simulation of little ice age by LASG/IAP climate system model FGOALS_gl.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (6):1125~1134
[29]  姜大膀,梁潇云.末次盛冰期东亚气候的成因检测.第四纪研究,2008, 28 (3):491~501 浏览
[30]  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop Report. IPCC Workshop on Changes Extreme Wether and Cliamte Events.Beijing,China,2002
[31]  Mann M E, Bradley R S,Hughes M K.Global scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries.Nature,1998, 392 :779~787
[32]  Ge Quansheng,Zheng Jingyun,Fang Xiuqi et al.Temperature changes of winter-half-year in Eastern China during the past 2000 years.Quaternary Sciences,2002, 22 (2):166~173
[33]  王绍武,闻新宇,罗 勇等.近千年中国温度序列的建立.科学通报,2007, 52 (8):958~964
[34]  Wang Shaowu,Wen Xinyu,Luo Yong et al.The construction of temperature series over last millennium in China.Chinese Science Bulletin,2007, 52 (8):958~964
[35]  郝志新,葛全胜,郑景云.宋元时期中国西北东部的冷暖变化.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (5):871~879 浏览
[36]  Hao Zhixin,Ge Quansheng,Zheng Jingyun.Temperature variations during the Song and Yuan Dynasties(960~1368A.D.)in the eastern part of North West China.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (5):871~879
[37]  初子莹,任国玉,邵雪梅等.我国过去千年地表温度序列的初步重建.气候与环境研究,2005, 10 (4):826~836
[38]  Chu Ziying,Ren Guoyu,Shao Xuemei et al.A preliminary reconstruction of mean surface air temperature over the last 1000 years in China.Climatic and Environmental Research,2005, 10 (4):826~836
[39]  王绍武,罗 勇,闻新宇等.近千年全球温度变化研究的新进展.气候变化研究进展,2007, 3 (1):14~19
[40]  Wang Shaowu,Luo Yong,Wen Xinyu et al.Lastest advances in studies of the global temperature variations for the last millennium.Advances in Climate Change Research,2007, 3 (1):14~19
[41]  Zheng Jingyun,Wang Shaowu.Assessment on climate change in China for the last 2000 years.Acta Geographica Sinica,2005, 60 (1):21~31
[42]  Wang Shaowu,Ye Jinlin,Gong Daoyi.Climate in China during the little ice age.Quaternary Sciences,1998, 1 :54~64
[43]  Yang Bao, Braeuning A,Johnson K R et al.General characteristics of temperature variation in China during the last two millennia.Geophysical Research Letters,2002, 29 (9):381~384
[44]  宋慧明,刘 禹,倪万眉等.以树轮宽度重建九寨沟公元1750年以来冬半年平均最低温度.第四纪研究,2007, 27 (4):486~491 浏览
[45]  Song Huiming,Liu Yu,Ni Wanmei et al.Winter mean lowest temperature derived from tree-ring width in Jiuzhaigou region,China since 1750A.D.Quaternary Sciences,2007, 27 (4):486~491
[46]  邵雪梅,王树芝,徐 岩等.柴达木盆地东北部3500年树轮定年年表的初步建立.第四纪研究,2007, 27 (4):477~485 浏览
[47]  Shao Xuemei,Wang Shuzhi,Xu Yan et al.A 3500-year master tree-ring dating chronology from the northeastern part of the Qaidam Basin.Quaternary Sciences,2007, 27 (4):477~485
[48]  中央气象局气象科学研究院主编.中国近五百年旱涝分布图集.北京: 地图出版社,1981.10
[49]  Chinese National Meteorological Administration ed.Yearly Charts of Dryness/Wetness in China for the Last 500-Year Period.Beijing: Sinomaps Press,1981.10
[50]  Jiang Dabang,Liang Xiaoyun.Attribution of East Asian climate at the Last Glacial Maximum.Quaternary Sciences,2008, 28 (3):491~501
[51]  Zorita E, Gonzlez-Rouco J F,Von Storch H et al.Natural and anthropogenic modes of surface temperature variation in the last thousand years.Geophysical Research Letters,2005, 32 : L08707,doi: 10.1029/2004GL021563
[52]  Von Storch H, Zorita E,Jones J M et al.Reconstructing past climate from noisy data.Science,2004, 306 :679~682
[53]  刘 健, Von Storch H,陈 星等.近千年全球气候变化的长积分模拟试验.地球科学进展,2005, 20 (5):561~567
[54]  Liu Jian,Von Storch H,Chen Xing et al.Long-time modeling experiment on global climate change for the last millennium.Advances in Earth Science,2005, 20 (5):561~567
[55]  彭友兵,徐 影.过去530年中国东部旱涝事件模拟研究初探.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (6):1095~1103 浏览
[56]  Peng Youbing,Xu Ying.A modeling study on drought and flood events of the last 530 years in East China.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (6):1095~1103
[57]  Peng Youbing, Shen Caiming,Wang Wei-Chyung et al.Response of summer precipitation over Eastern China to large volcanic eruptions. Journal of Climate,2010, 23 (3):818~824
[58]  提汝媛,顾亚进,刘 健等.近千年中国东部夏季降水的模拟研究.第四纪研究,2009, 29 (6):1104~1114 浏览
[59]  Ti Ruyuan,Gu Yajin,Liu Jian et al.A modeling study on summer precipitation of the last 1000 years in East China.Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (6):1104~1114
[60]  况雪源,刘 健,王红丽等.近千年来中国区域降水模拟与重建资料的对比分析.地球科学进展,2009, 24 (2):159~171
[61]  Kuang Xueyuan,Liu Jian,Wang Hongli et al.Comparison of simulated and reconstructed precipitation in China during the last millennium. Advances in Earth Science,2009, 24 (2):159~171
[62]  Shen C, Wang W C,Peng Y et al.Variability of summer precipitation over Eastern China during the last millennium.Climate of the Past,2009, 5 :129~141
[63]  Liu Jian, Wang Bin,Ding Qinghua et al.Centennial variations of the global monsoon precipitation in the last millennium: Results from ECHO-G model. Journal of Climate,2009, 22 :2356~2371
[64]  Peng Youbing, Xu Ying,Jin Liya.Climate changes over Eastern China during the last millennium in simulation and reconstructions.Quaternary International,2009,doi: 10.1016/j.quaint.2009.02.013
[65]  Arkin P A, Xie P P.The global precipitation climatology project: First algorithm intercomparison project.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,1994, 75 (3):401~420 2.0.CO;2 target="_blank">
[66]  Adler R F, Huffman G J,Chang A et al.The version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project(GPCP)monthly precipitation analysis(1979~present). Journal of Hydrometero,2003, 4 :1147~1167 2.0.CO;2 target="_blank">

Full-Text

Contact Us

service@oalib.com

QQ:3279437679

WhatsApp +8615387084133