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科尔沁沙地1826年以来榆树树轮宽度年表的建立及降水重建

, PP. 360-369

Keywords: 科尔沁,榆树,树轮年表,降水

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Abstract:

利用10个采样点230个树木年轮样本,通过树轮分析程序,建立了科尔沁沙地区域1826~2008年共计183年长度的榆树树轮宽度年表。通过分析发现,水热条件与科尔沁沙地榆树生长关系密切。以标准年表及年表t+1年和t+2年序列重建了区域1826~2006年年降水。从过去181年来看,年降水重建序列具有2年、12年、18年和30年等变化准周期,分别经历了5个偏湿和5个偏干阶段,干旱和偏干年份分别占总年份的0.55%和16.02%,1950~2006年间偏干年数占1900~2006年间偏干总年数的78.57%,偏干阶段年数不断增加。降水出现了4次突变,1839年和1920年前后均发生了由少到多的突变,1861年和1958年前后均发生了由多到少的突变,这其中尤以1958年前后突变最为显著。总体上,科尔沁沙地近181年中,1826~1957年近130年间降水变化较为平缓,而后近50年,降水量趋于减少,气候趋于干旱

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