1 IPCC. Summary for Policymakers.In: Pachauri R K,Reisinger A eds.Geneva,Switzerland.2007
[2]
2 Woodward W A, Gray H L.Selecting a model for detecting the presence of a trend. Journal of Climate,1995, 8 :1929~1937
[3]
3 Stern D I, Kaufmann R K.Detecting a global warming signal in hemispheric temperature series: A structural time series analysis. Climatic Change,2000, 47 :411~438
[4]
4 Liu Hui, Rodriguez G.Human activities and global warming: A cointegration analysis. Environmental Modeling & Software,2005, 20 :761~773
[5]
5 Karl T R, Trenberth K E.Modern global climate change. Science,2003, 302 :1719~1723
[6]
6 Breusch T, Vahid F.Global temperature trends.Working papers in economics & econometrics.2008.http://ideas.repec.org/p/acb/cbeeco/2008-495.html
Zhang Piyuan,Wang Zheng,Liu Xiaolei et al.The stages of the climate evolution in China over the last 2000 years. Science in China(Series B),1994, 24 (9):998~1008
Yang Yuda,Wang Meisu,Man Zhimin.The progress of research methods in Chinese historical climate in the past 30 years: Focusing on the use of historical documents. Journal of Chinese Historical Geography,2009, 24 (2):5~13
[11]
Chen Xing,Xu Yun.Climate of the past 1000 years: Simulation and mechanism. Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (6):1115~1124
17 Goossens C, Berger A.Annual and seasonal climatic variations over the Northern Hemisphere and Europe during the last century. Annals Geophys,1986, 4 (4):385~400
Fu Zongbin,Wang Qiang.Synchronization between abruption within a long-term change of summer monsoon in South Asia and fast global warming. Science in China (Series B),1991, 6 :666~672
Wang Zheng,Zhou Qingbo,Zhang Piyuan et al.Climate abruption in early 19th century. Progress in Natural Science,1995, 5 (3):323~329
[20]
20 Aesawy A M, Hasanean H M.Annual and seasonal climatic analysis of surface air temperature variations at six Southern Mediterranean stations. Theoretical and Applied Climatology,1998, 61 :55~68
[21]
21 Delworth T L, Mann M E.Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics,2000, 16 :661~676
[22]
22 Klyashtorin L B, Borisov V,Lyubushin A.Cyclic changes of climate and major commercial stocks of the Barents Sea. Marine Biology Research,2009, 5 (1):4~17
[23]
23 Swanson K L, Tsonis A A.Has the climate recently shifted?Geophysical Research Letters,2009, 36 : L06711,doi: 10.1029/2008GL037022
Ding Zhongli,Duan Xiaonan,Ge Quansheng et al.Control of atmospheric CO2 Concentration by 2050: A calculation on the emission rights of different countries. Science in China(Series D),2009, 52 (10):1447~1469
Wang Zheng,Wu Jing,Li Gangqiang et al.Using simulation to assess climate-change strategies for global participation. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2009, 29 (5):2407~2417
[32]
28 J IPCC.Climate Change 1995:The Science of Climate Change. Cambridge,United Kingdom and New York,NY,USA:Cambridge University Press,1996.572
Lü Shiyu,Wu Jisong.Research on the impact factors of China''s greenhouse gas emission reduction target design and the correspond-ing reduction strategies. China Soft Science,2010,(3):1~8
Zhu Yongbin,Wang Zheng,Pang Li et al.Simulation on China''s economy and prediction on energy consumption and carbon emission under optimal growth path. Acta Geographica Sinica,2009, 64 (8):935
[39]
Yang Bao,Tan Ming.Variability of the East Asian summer monsoon and its relationship with regional temperature and moiture change during the last millennium. Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (5):880~887
Ge Quansheng,Zheng Jingyun,Fang Xiuqi et al.Temperature changes of winter-half-year in Eastern China during the past 2000 years. Quaternary Sciences,2002, 22 (2):166~173
Hao Zhixin,Ge Quansheng,Zheng Jingyun.Temperature variations during the Song and Yuan Dynasties(960~1368A.D.)in the eastern part of North West China. Quaternary Sciences,2009, 29 (5):871~879