王启光, 封国林, 郑志海, 等. 2011. 长江中下游汛期降水优化多因子组合客观定量化预测研究 [J]. 大气科学, 35 (2): 287-297. Wang Qiguang, Feng Guolin, Zheng Zhihai, et al. 2011. A study of the objective and quantifiable forecasting based on optimal factors combinations in precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in summer [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 35 (2): 287-297.
[2]
魏凤英. 2006. 长江中下游夏季降水异常变化与若干强迫因子的关系 [J]. 大气科学, 30 (2): 202-211. Wei Fengying. 2006. Relationships between precipitation anomaly over the middle and lower reaches of the Changjiang River in summer and several forcing factors [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 30 (2): 202-211.
[3]
吴永萍, 王澄海, 沈永平. 2011. 1960-2009年塔里木河流域降水时空演化特征及原因分析 [J]. 冰川冻土, 33 (6): 1268-1273. Wu Yongping, Wang Chenghai, Shen Yongping. 2011. Spatiotemporal evolution of precipitation over Tarim River basin during 1960-2009: Characteristics and reasons [J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology (in Chinese), 33 (6): 1268-1273.
[4]
Wu Yongping, Shen Yongping, Li B L. 2012. Possible physical mechanism of water vapor transport over Tarim River basin [J]. Ecological Complexity, 9: 63-70.
[5]
谢安, 毛江玉, 宋焱云, 等. 2002. 长江中下游地区水汽输送的气候特征 [J]. 应用气象学报, 13 (1): 67-77. Xie An, Mao Jiangyu, Song Yanyun, et al. 2002. Climatological characteristics of moisture transport over Yangtze River basin [J]. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science (in Chinese), 13 (1): 67-77.
[6]
谢义炳, 戴武杰. 1959. 中国东部地区夏季水汽输送个例计算 [J]. 气象学报, 30 (2): 173-185. Xie Yibing, Dai Wujie. 1959. Certain computational results of water vapour transport over eastern China for a selected synoptic case [J]. Acta Meteor. Sinica (in Chinese), 30 (2): 173- 185.
[7]
叶敏, 钱忠华, 吴永萍. 2013. 中国旱涝时空分布特征分析 [J]. 物理学报, 62 (13): 139203, doi:10.7498/aps.62.139203. Ye Min, Qian Zhonghua, Wu Yongping. 2013. Spatiotemporal evolution of the droughts and floods over China [J]. Acta Phys. Sinica (in Chinese), 62 (13): 139203, doi:10.7498/aps.62.139203.
[8]
叶敏, 吴永萍, 周杰, 等. 2014. 影响华北盛夏降水的水汽路径客观定量化的研究 [J]. 物理学报, 63 (12): 129201, doi:10.7498/aps.63.129201. Ye Min, Wu Yongping, Zhou Jie, et al. 2014. Objective quantification of the water vapor path influencing precipitation in North China in summer [J]. Acta Phys. Sinica (in Chinese), 63 (12): 129201, doi:10.7498/aps.63.129201.
[9]
Zhang Renhe. 2001. Relations of water vapor transport from Indian monsoon with that over East Asia and the summer rainfall in China [J]. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 18 (5): 1005-1017.
[10]
张庆云, 郭恒. 2014. 夏季长江淮河流域异常降水事件环流差异及机理研究 [J]. 大气科学, 38 (4): 656-669. Zhang Qingyun, Guo Heng. 2014. Circulation differences in anomalous rainfall over the Yangtze River and Huaihe River valleys in summer [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 38 (4): 656-669.
[11]
张学文, 周少祥. 2010. 空中水文学初探 [M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 20pp. Zhang Xuewen, Zhou Shaoxiang. 2010. Discussion on Hydrology in the Air (in Chinese) [M]. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 20pp.
[12]
赵俊虎, 封国林, 王启光, 等. 2011. 2010年我国夏季降水异常气候成因分析及预测 [J]. 大气科学, 35 (6): 1069-1078. Zhao Junhu, Feng Guolin, Wang Qiguang, et al. 2011. Cause and prediction of summer rainfall anomaly distribution in China in 2010 [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 35 (6): 1069-1078.
[13]
Zhou Tianjun, Ru Congyu. 2005. Atmospheric water vapor transport associated with typical anomalous summer rainfall patterns in China [J]. J. Geophys. Res., 110 (D8): D08104, doi:10.1029/2004JD005413.
[14]
周晓霞, 丁一汇, 王盘兴. 2008. 影响华北汛期降水的水汽输送过程 [J]. 大气科学, 32 (2): 345-357. Zhou Xiaoxia, Ding Yihui, Wang Panxing. 2008. Features of moisture transport associated with the precipitation over North China during July-August [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 32 (2): 345-357.
[15]
陈烈庭. 1997. 东太平洋赤道地区海水温度异常对热带大气环流及我国汛期降水的影响 [J]. 大气科学, 1 (1): 1-12. Chen Lieting. 1997. The effects of the anomalous sea-surface temperature of the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean on the tropical circulation and rainfall during the rainy period in China [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 1 (1): 1-12.
[16]
Chen M, Pollard D, Barron E J. 2005. Hydrologic processes in China and their association with summer precipitation anomalies [J]. J. Hydrol., 301: 14-28.
[17]
Fan Ke, Wang Huijun, Choi Yong-Jean. 2008. A physically-based statistical forecast model for the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River valley summer rainfall [J]. Chinese Science Bulletin, 53 (4): 602-609.
[18]
封国林, 杨涵洧, 张世轩, 等. 2012. 2011年春末夏初长江中下游地区旱涝急转成因初探 [J]. 大气科学, 36 (5): 1009-1026. Feng Guolin, Yang Hanwei, Zhang Shixuan, et al. 2012. A preliminary research on the reason of a sharp turn from drought to flood in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in late spring and early summer of 2011 [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 36 (5): 1009-1026.
[19]
封国林, 孙树鹏, 赵俊虎, 等. 2013. 基于2009 年初长江中下游地区持续阴雨过程的10-30天延伸期稳定分量的提取及配置分析 [J]. 中国科学, 43 (5): 836-847. Feng Guolin, Sun Shupeng, Zhao Junhu, et al. 2013. Analysis of stable components for extended-range (10-30 days) weather forecast: A case study of continuous overcast-rainy process in early 2009 over the mid-lower reaches of the Yangtze River [J]. Science China: Earth Sciences (in Chinese), 43 (5): 836-847.
[20]
龚道溢, 朱锦红, 王绍武. 2000. 长江流域夏季降水与前期北极涛动的显著相关 [J]. 科学通报, 47 (7): 546-549. Gong Daoyi, Zhu Jinhong, Wang Shaowu. 2000. The significant correlation of summer rainfall over Yangtze River and pre-Arctic Oscillation [J]. Chinese Science Bulletin (in Chinese), 47 (7): 546-549.
[21]
He Jinhai, Zhou Bing, Wen Min, et al. 2001. Vertical circulation structure, interannual variation features and variation mechanism of western Pacific subtropical high [J]. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 18 (4): 497-510.
[22]
黄嘉佑, 刘舸, 赵昕奕. 2004. 副高、极涡因子对我国夏季降水的影响 [J]. 大气科学, 28 (4): 517-526. Huang Jiayou, Liu Ke, Zhao Xinyi. 2004. The influence of subtropical high indexes and polar vortex indexes on the summertime precipitation in China [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 28 (4): 517-526.
[23]
黄荣辉, 陈际龙, 刘永. 2011. 我国东部夏季降水异常主模态的年代际变化及其与东亚水汽输送的关系 [J]. 大气科学, 35 (4): 589-606. Huang Ronghui, Chen Jilong, Liu Yong. 2011. Interdecadal variation of the leading modes of summertime precipitation anomalies over eastern China and its association with water vapor transport over East Asia [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 35 (4): 589-606.
[24]
IPCC. 2013. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis [M]. Cambridge, UK and New York, USA: Cambridge University Press.(http://www. ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg1/#.Uq_tD7KBRR1 [2013-09-).
[25]
李维京. 1999. 1998年大气环流异常及其对中国气候异常的影响 [J]. 气象, 25 (4): 20-25. Li Weijing. 1999. General atmospheric circulation anomaly in 1998 and their impact on climate anomaly in China [J]. Meteorological Monthly (in Chinese), 25 (4): 20-25.
[26]
刘国纬. 1997. 水文循环的大气过程 [M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 120pp. Liu Guowei. 1997. Atmospheric Processes in Hydrologic Cycle (in Chinese) [M]. Beijing: Science Press, 120pp.
[27]
Murakami T. 1959. The general circulation and water vapor balance over the Far East during the rainy season [J]. Geophys. Mag., 29 (2): 137-171.
[28]
施能, 顾骏强, 黄先香, 等. 2004. 合成风场的统计检验和蒙特卡洛检验 [J]. 大气科学, 28 (6): 950-956. Shi Neng, Gu Junqiang, Huang Xianxiang, et al. 2004. Significance test and Monte Carlo test used in composite analysis of window field and applications [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 28 (6): 950-956.
[29]
Simmonds I, Bi D H, Hope P. 1999. Atmospheric water vapor flux and its association with rainfall over China in summer [J]. J. Climate, 12 (5): 1353-1367.
[30]
陶诗言, 朱文妹, 赵卫. 1988. 论梅雨的年际变异 [J]. 大气科学, 12 (特刊): 13-21. Tao Shiyan, Zhu Wenmei, Zhao Wei. 1988. Interannual variability of Meiyu rainfalls [J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese), 12 (s1): 13-21.
[31]
Thompson D W J, Wallace J M. 2000. Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part I: Month-to-month variability [J]. J. Climate, 13 (5): 1000-1016.
[32]
Thompson D W J, Wallace J M, Hegerl G C. 2000. Annular modes in the extratropical circulation. Part II: Trends [J]. J. Climate, 13 (5): 1018- 1036.
[33]
Vecchi G A, Soden B J, Wittenberg A T, et al. 2006. Weakening of tropical Pacific atmospheric circulation due to anthropogenic forcing [J]. Nature, 441 (7089): 73-76.
