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大气科学  2003 

跨季度动力气候预测系统IAPDCP-II

DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2003.03.01

Keywords: 气候预测,夏季旱涝,ENSO预测,季度预报

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Abstract:

概述中国科学院大气物理研究所研制的跨季度动力气候预测系统(IAPDCP-II),及其在我国夏季降水距平预测业务中的应用情况.该系统的试用始于1988年,1998年定型为现今版本(即IAPDCP-II).1998年起至今,每年预测的检验说明,该系统有较好的跨季度预测能力,能预报出夏季降水距平的大范围分布形势.

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