布和朝鲁.东亚季风气候未来变化的情景分析-基于IPCCSRES A2和B2方案的模拟结果.科学通报,2003,48(7):737～742Bueh C.Simulation of the future change of East Asian monsoon climate using the IPCC SRES A2 and B2 scenarios.Chinese Science Bulletin (in Chinese),2003,48 (7):737～742
[2]
Delworth T L,Stouffer R J.Review of simulations of climate variability and change with the GFDL R30 coupled climate model.Climate Dynamics,2002,19 (7):555～574
[3]
Ren B,Huang R.Interannual variability of the convective activities associated with the East Asia summer monsoon obtained from TBB variability.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,1999,16(1):77～90
[4]
Li C,Mu M,Zhou G.The variation of warm pool in the equatorial western Pacific and its impacts on climate.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,1999,16 (3):378～394
[5]
吴国雄,丑纪范,刘屹岷,等.副热带高压形成和变异的动力学问题.北京:科学出版社,2002.188ppWu Guoxiong,Chou Jifan,Liu Yimin,et al.Dynamics of the Formation of Subtropical Anticyclones (in Chinese).Beijing:Science Press,2002.188pp
[6]
IPCC.Climate Change 2001:The Scientific Basis.Contribution of Working Group Ⅰ to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).Houghton J T,Ding Y,Griggs D J,et al,Eds.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press,2001.944pp
[7]
Wang S W,Ye D Z.Analysis of the global warming during the last one hundred years.Climate Variability,Beijing:China Meteorological Press,1993.23～32
[8]
Dai A,Meehl G A,Washington W M,et al.Climate change in the 21th centurey over the Asia-Pacific region simulated by the NCAR CSM and PCM.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,2001,18:639～658
[9]
Guo Yufu,Yu Yongqiang,Liu Xiying,et al.Simulation of climate change induced by CO2 increasing for East Asia with IAP/LASG GOALS model.Adv.Atmos.Sci.,2001,18(1):54～66
[10]
Bueh C,Cubasch U,Hagemann S.Impact of global warming on changes in the East Asian Monsoon and related river discharge in a global time-slice experiment.Climate Research,2003,24:47～57
[11]
徐影,丁一汇,赵宗慈.长江中下游地区21世纪气候变化情景预测.自然灾害学报,2004,13(1):25～31Xu Ying,Ding Yihui,Zhao Zongci.Prediction of climate change in middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in the 21st century.Journal of Natural Disasters (in Chinese),2004,13 (1):25～31
[12]
Rutherford S,Mann M E,Delwoeth T L,et al.Climate field reconstruction under stationary and nonstationary forcing.Journal of Climate,2003,16 (3):462～479
[13]
左瑞亭,曾庆存,张铭.季风及季风与西风带相互关系的数值模拟研究.大气科学,2004,28(1):7～22Zuo Ruiting,Zeng Qingcun,Zhang Ming.A numerical simulation of monsoon and the correlation between monsoon and westerlies.Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),2004,28 (1):7～22
[14]
Latif M,Barnett T P.Causes of decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America.Science,1994,266:634～637
[15]
Gu D,Philander S G H.Interdecadal climate fluctuations that depend on exchanges between the tropics and extratropics.Science,1997,275:805～807
[16]
陈烈庭,吴仁广.太平洋各区海温异常对中国东部夏季雨带类型的共同影响.大气科学,1998,22(5):718～726Chen Lieting,Wu Renguang.The joint effects of SST anomalies over different Pacific regions on summer rain belt patterns in eastern China.Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences (in Chinese),1998,22 (5):718～726
